Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 3rd Feb 2018

Sandown, Musselburgh and Wetherby provide the LIVE ITV action this Saturday with seven races spread across the three venues.

As always, we got it all covered with all the key trends – use these stats to help find the best past winning profiles to help whittle down the runners and hopefully pin-point a few winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.15 - Betfred "Treble Odds On Lucky 15´s" Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f119y

11/11 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
11/11 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
10/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/11 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
9/11 – Aged 9 or younger
9/11 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
9/11 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
6/11 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/11 – Carried 10-10 or less
5/11 – Winners that went to race in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase
5/11 – Came from outside the top 4 in the betting
5/11 – Had run over fences at Sandown before (3 won)
4/11 – Aged 7 years-old
4/11 – French bred
4/11 – Raced at Sandown last time out
4/11 – Had an official rating of exactly 125
3/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/11 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

1.50 Betfred ‘Supports Jack Berry House- Contenders Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

7/7 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/7 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
7/7 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
6/7 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Won between 2-5 times (hurdles)
6/7 – French bred
5/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/7 – Winning favourites
4/7 – Rated 161 or higher
4/7 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/7 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/7 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 2/1
Buveur D’Air won the race 12 months ago

2.25 - Betfred TV Scilly Isles Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

14/14 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
14/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/14 – Won no more than 3 times over fences before
14/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
12/14 – Aged 7 or younger
12/14 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
9/14 – Winning favourites
8/14 – French bred
6/14 – Aged 7 years-old
5/14 – Irish bred
5/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/14 – Had run over fences at Sandown before
4/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 5 in the RSA Chase
3/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/14 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob (last 3 winners)
2/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning  SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/4

3.00 - Betfred Mobile Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m7f98y ITV4

12/12 – Had run in the last 8 weeks
12/12 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
11/12 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
11/12 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
10/12 – Officially rated 135 or lower
10/12 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles previously
9/12 – Winners that went to race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
9/12 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
8/12 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
8/12 – Priced 13/2 or less
7/12 – Won by a horse aged 7 or younger
7/12 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/12 – Favourites placed
4/12 – Raced over hurdles at Sandown previously (3 won)
4/12 – Won their last race
4/12 – Favourites that won
4/12 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/12 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/12 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/12 – Won by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/12 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/12 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Ryanair Chase, 2007 Taranis)
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 10/1

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3.35 - Betfred Mobile Masters Handicap Chase Cl2 3m110y ITV4

13/14 – Carried 11-5 or less
13/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/14 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
11/14 – Aged 9 or younger
10/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before
9/14 – Rated 136 or lower
8/14 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/14 – Had raced at Sandown before (4 won)
8/14 – Placed last time out
7/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Irish-bred
6/14 – Raced at either Sandown (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
5/14 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/14 – French-bred
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Winners that went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
2/14 – Trained by Lucy Wadham (2 of last 4)
2/14 – Trained by Venetia Williams (2 of last 4)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.40 - totepool Towton Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV4

12/13 – Aged 8 or younger
11/13 – Had never raced over fences at Wetherby before
10/13 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/13 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
9/13 – Aged 7 years-old
9/13 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
9/13 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/13 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (1 winner, Blaklion 2016, plus all finished 6th or better)
2/13 – Trained by Ian Williams
The average SP in the last 8 runnings is 6/1

 

Musselburgh Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 - bet365 Scottish County Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f124y ITV4

10/11 – Returned 13/2 or less in the betting
10/11 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
10/11 – Had won over this trip before (hurdles)
8/11 – Aged 6 years-old
8/11 – Former flat horses
8/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/11 – Carried 11-0 or less
7/11 – Rated between 120-130
7/11 – Favourites placed in the top 4
2/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

3.15 – bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase Cl2 4m176y ITV4

1 previous runnings
Dancing Shadow (6/1) won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Victor Dartnall win the race 12 months ago
Trainer Sandy Thompson has a 21% record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 50% (3 from 6) record with his chasers at the track

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