Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 3rd June 2017

It's DERBY DAY folks !! Yes, it's that time of year again as this season's crop of the best 3 year-old middle distance horses do battle on the Epsom Downs - Aidan O'Brien will be looking for his sixth Derby success, but there is plenty of opposition against his Irish raiders this year. So, like all Saturday's we've got all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends angle - use these key stats to find the best profiles of past winners.

 

 

Epsom Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.00 - Investec Private Banking Handicap Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f18y ITV

14/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Never run at Epsom before
12/14 – Had won over 1m before (4 over 1m2f)
11/14 – Winners from stall 6 or higher
10/14 – Placed last time out
10/14 – Carried 8-10 or more
9/14 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Favourites that were placed
8/14 – Horses placed from stall 1
4/14 – Won their previous race
3/14 – Winners from stall 1
3/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/14 – Won by trained Sir Michael Stoute
3/14 – Won by trained Sylvester Kirk
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Stall 2 has just one place to its name in the last 14 runnings

2.35 - Princess Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Investec) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m114y ITV

14/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/14 – Had won at Listed or Group 3 class before
12/14 – Drawn in stall 4,5,6 or 7
12/14 – Favourites placed
11/14 – Had won between 4-6 times before
11/14 – Finished in the top three last time out
11/14 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
11/14 – Had won over at least a mile before
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/14 – Had raced within the last month
8/14 – Aged 4 years-old
8/14 – Had raced at Epsom before
7/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Drawn in either stall 5 or 6
4/14 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/14 – Won by a Cheveley Park-owned horse
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Epsom Icon won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

 

3.10 – INVESTEC DIOMED STAKES (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 1m 114y ITV

14/14 – Had won over at least a mile before
12/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
12/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/14 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/14 – Aged 5 or older
11/14 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
10/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Had raced at Epsom before
10/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
3/14 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 - Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

3.45 – Investec Corporate Banking "Dash" (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV

15/15 – Didn’t win last time out
13/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks (11 within the last 4 weeks)
12/15 – Came from stall 8 or higher
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/15– Unplaced favourites
11/15 – Won by horses aged between 5 and 8 years-old (inc)
10/15 – Had raced at Epsom previously (only 3 had won)
9/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/15 – Horses from stall 1 that hit the frame
1/15 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 14/1

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4.30 – Investec Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m4f10y ITV

15/15 – Raced no more than 5 times before
15/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
14/15 – Had won a Group race before
14/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/15 – Won from a single-figure stall
11/15 – Won last time out
11/15 – Favourites that were placed
10/15 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
10/15 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
8/15 – Had won a Group One before
7/15 – Irish-trained winners
6/15 – Won by the favourite
4/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 5 in all)
4/15 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won 5 in all)
2/15 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
1/15 – Won over 1m4f before
0/15 – Run at the course before
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 4/1
10 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Golden Horn, 2015 being the most-recent)
Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby

Epsom Derby Trainer Stats
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2010, 2004, 2003, 1986 & 1981
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013 & 2014

 Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

 

 

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