Sat TV Trends: 3rd October 2015

Another big weekend of LIVE C4 horse racing action as the cameras head to Ascot, Newmarket and Redcar – we’ve got the key trends & stats for all the LIVE races.

Find those TV winners!

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)

2.00 - Albert Bartlett Stakes (Registered as The Rous Stakes) ( Listed Race) Cl1 5f CH4

11/11 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
11/11 – Won over 5f before
10/11 – Rated 101 or higher
9/11 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
9/11 – Aged 5 or younger
8/11 – Won between 3-7 times before
8/11 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
7/11 – Unplaced in their last race
5/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/11 – Trained by Bryan Smart
1/11 – Favourites
1/11 – Won their last race
Justice Day won the race in 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

2.35 - Gigaset Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f CH4

12/12 3 Placed fourth or better last time out
11/13 – Favourites placed
12/13 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/13 – Won at Listed or better class before
11/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
9/13 – Had 5 or more runs that season
9/13 – Ran at the course before (4 won)
8/13 – Won their last race
8/13 – Won 4 or more times before
7/13 – Favourites
6/13 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
5/13 – Trained by Marcus Tregoning
2/13 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/13 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/2

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.10 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f CH4

Only 6 previous runnings
7/7 – Won over 6f before
7/7 – Rated 100 or higher
6/7 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
6/7 – Won 4 or more times previously
6/7 – Raced within the last 30 days
5/7 – Aged 4 or older
5/7 – Raced 6 or more times that season
3/7 – Returned a double-figure price
4/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
1/7 – Favourites
Lightning Moon won the race 12 months ago
The Average winning SP in the last 6 years is 11/1

3.45 – totescoop6 Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

12/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/13 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
10/13 – Won over 7f before
9/13 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/13 – Ran within the last 30 days
9/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/13 – Ran at Ascot before
8/13 – Ran 7 or more times that season
7/13 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
7/13 – Returned a double-figure price
4/13 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/13 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/13 – Won their previous race
0/13 – Filly or mare winners
Intransigent won the race in 2014
Heavens Guest won the race in 2013
5 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
4 of the last 7 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 3
3 of the last 7 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 16/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

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NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

1.45 - £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 6f CH4

No previous runnings
Brian Meehan is just 1 from 63 with his 2 year-olds here
Clive Brittain is just 2 from 49 with his 2 year-old runners here
Dave Evans has a 33% record with his 2 year-olds here
Jockey Cam Hardie is 2 from 9 (22%) riding 2 year-olds here
Jockey John Egan is 2 from 7 (29%) riding 2 year-olds here

2.15 - £300,000 Tattersalls Millions 2yo Fillies´ Trophy (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 7f CH4

7 previous runnings
6/7 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/7 – Won between 1 and 2 previous races
5/7 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
5/7 – Foaled in February
5/7 – Had 5 previous runs
4/7 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/7 – Winning favourites
3/7 – Horse from stall 3 finishing second
3/7 – Failed to win their last race
1/7 – Won over 7f

2.50 - £500,000 Tattersalls Millions 2yo Trophy Cl2 7f CH4

7 previous runnings
5/7 – Foaled in March (2) or April (3)
5/7 – Winning distance 1 length or less
5/7 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
4/7 – Unplaced favourites
4/7 – Won over 7f
3/7 – Won their last race
3/7 – Favourites
2/7 – Won by John Gosden
2/7 – Priced 33/1 or bigger in the betting
0/7 – Filly winners
The average winning SP in the last 7 years is 17/1

3.30 - Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m CH4

9/11 – Won over at least 1m
9/11 – Previous Group winners
9/11 – Won between 3-5 times
8/11 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Rated between 113 and 119
6/11 – Group One winners
5/11 – Aged 3 years-old
4/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/11 – French-trained winners
4/11 – Ran at Deauville last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/11 – Won by a previous winner of the race
1/11 – Won their last race
Integral won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

REDCAR Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

3.00 - totepool Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

10/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
9/13 – Foaled in March or later
8/13 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
8/13 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Won over 6f
8/13 – Won 1 or 2 previous races
8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
5/13 – Won their last race
3/13 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
3/13 – Filly winners
3/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/13 – Trained by Stan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/1

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