Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 3rd Sept 2016

Plenty going on this Saturday – As always horse racing stats man, Andy Newton’s, got all the TV trends – this week from Haydock, Ascot & Kempton….....

 

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Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)


3.00 - Superior Mile (Group 3) Cl1 1m CH4

11/12 – Won over 1m or further before
11/12 – Won 3 or more times before
10/12 – Winning distance 1 length or more
9/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Had 3 or more runs that season
9/12 – Had won a Listed or better race before
9/12 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
6/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Had won at Haydock before
3/12 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 1 or 4
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 6/1


3.30 - 32 Red Casino (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f CH4

12/13 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/13 – Had won at least twice before
11/13 – Finished 4th or better last time out
11/13 – Had run 4 or more times that season
11/13 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
10/13 – Rated 90 to 101
9/13 – Drawn in stall 8 or higher
8/13 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/13 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
6/13 – Ran at Haydock before
6/13 – Had run over 1m6f before
5/13 – Ran at York last time out
5/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/13 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/13 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 9/1


4.00 - 32 Red Be Friendly Handicap Cl2 5f CH4

10/13 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/13 – Rated 90+
10/13 – Had run at Haydock before (2 won)
10/13 – Previous winners over 5f
9/13 – Had 9 or more previous runs that season
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Winning distance - 1 length or less
8/13 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
8/13 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
7/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/13 – Carried 8-11 or less
2/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Dandy Nicholls
2/13 – Trained by Tim Easterby
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 10/1
Kickboxer won the race in 2014
Confessional won the race in 2013

 

4.30 - 32 Red Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f CH4

12/14 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
12/14 - Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Rated 111 or higher
11/14 – Had won over 6f before
11/14 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/14 – Winning distance 1 length or less
10/14 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/14 –Had 4 or more runs that season
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/14 – Had won a Group race before
8/14 – Ran at Deauville (3) or York (5) last time out
7/14 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
5/14 – Had run at Haydock before (2 had won)
4/14 – Had won a Group 1 before
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Placed horse from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 10/1


Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/C4)


2.40 – Albert Bartlett Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Didn’t win last time out
5/5 – Had run at the course before
5/5 – Had won over 7f before
5/5 – Irish bred
5/5 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
5/5 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
5/5 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
4/5 – Rated between 95-97
4/5 – Had between 4-7 wins already
3/5 – Unplaced last time out
3/5 – Aged 5 years-old
2/5 – Winners from stall 12
0/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 5 years is 12/1


3.10 - Appletiser Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m4f CH4

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Only 5 previous runnings
5/6 – Rated between 85-95
5/6 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
4/6 – Carried 9-0 or more
4/6 – Had won just once before
4/6 – Horses placed from stall 10
4/6 – Horses placed from stall 8
4/6 – Won last time out
4/6 – Had run at Ascot before (3 won)
3/6 – Returned a double-figure price
3/6 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/6 – Won by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/6 – Winning favourites (1 co)
Note: the 2015 running was a dead-heat


Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

3.45 - totescoop6 September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f CH4

9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Had won between 4-7 times before
7/10 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
7/10 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/10 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
5/10 – Had run at Kempton before
4/10 – Godolphin-owned runners
4/10 – Ran at York (2) or Windsor (2) last time out
4/10 – Aged 4 years-old
3/10 – Winners from stall 2
3/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/10 – Winning favourites
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

4.15 - totepool London Mile Handicap (Series Final) Cl2 1m CH4

10/10 – Had run at Kempton before
9/10 – Had won over a mile before
9/10 – Won between 3-7 times before
8/10 – Unplaced favourites
7/10 – Aged 4 years-old
7/10 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/10 – Returned 20/1 or bigger in the betting
5/10 – Rated between 77-85
5/10 – Horses from stall 9 that finished in the top 3
3/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at Kempton last time out
2/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Trained by Roger Teal
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 19.5/1

 

 

Trainers Quotes

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"GUNS OF LEROS is an honest horse who has improved with the step up in trip. Has gone up for his recent win which I expected and this is reduced by Hector claiming off him so theoretically well-handicapped today. I hope GUNS OF LEROS can take this race today but there are several who are returning after a break with decent form so I shall be hoping they may need the run!"
Gary Moore

27/08/16 1st 5/2

"Princess Tansy - This horse is working very well at home at the moment and is a past CD winner here at the track. Was a nice second last time out and only a pound higher. But we also take off 7lbs with the jockey's claim here so I feel we've got a solid each-way chance today at a nice price."
Gay Kelleway

27/08/16 1st 9/1

 

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