Sat TV Trends: 4th Aug 2012

Andy Newton is on hand with all the trends and stats for the LIVE C4 races at Goodwood, Newmarket & Thirsk...

 

Goodwood (RUK & C4)

2.05 - Get Your Bet On At bluesq.com Stewards´ Sprint Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+) Winner £18,675 CH4 Good 6f

10/10 – Failed to win last time out
10/10 – Had run at Goodwood before
9/10 – Had won over 6f before
9/10 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
9/10 – Had won at least 3 times during their career
7/10 – Finished 4th or worse last time out
6/10 – Winners won by 1 ¼ lengths or more
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
6/10 – Ran at either York (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/10 – Returned between 8/1 and 12/1 in the betting
5/10 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/10 – Trained by David Nicholls
2/10 – Ridden by Adrian Nicholls
2/10 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/10 – Winning favourites (none in the last 8 years)
0/10 – 3 year-old winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1


2.40 - Toyo Tires Performance Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) Winner £24,900 CH4 Good 1m6f

9/10 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
9/10 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
9/10 – Finished fourth or better last time out
8/10 – Carried 9-4 or more
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/10 – Had won 3 or more times during their career
7/10 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Placed favourites
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Had run at Goodwood before
3/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10  - Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1


3.15 - Markel Insurance Nassau Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) Winner £104,914 CH4 Good 1m1f192y

9/10 – Had run twice or more already that season
9/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/10 – Finished in the top three last time out
7/10 – Winning distance 1 ½ or less
7/10 – Won by a previous Group 1 winner
7/10 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Winning favourites
6/10 – Six won over 1m2f before
4/10 – Had run at the track before
3/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
3/10 – Trained by Sir Henry Cecil
3/10 – Ridden by Tom Queally
2/10 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4


3.55 - Blue Square Bet Stewards´ Cup (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+) Winner £62,250 CH4 Good 6f

10/10 – Aged 6 or younger
10/10 – Had at least 3 previous career runs to their name
10/10 – Had won over 6f before
9/10 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
9/10 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Ran at either Ascot, York or Newmarket last time out
7/10 – Carried 9-1 or less
5/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/10 – Had run at Goodwood before
3/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
2/10 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/10 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12.5/1

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NEWMARKET (JULY) (C4 & RUK)

2.20 – Adnams Ghost Ship Handicap (CLASS 3) (3yo 0-90) Winner £9,704 CH4 Good To Firm 7f

9/10 – Had won at least 1 race during their career
8/10 – Winning distance of 1 ½ or more
8/10 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
7/10 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/10 – Came from stalls 4-9 (inc)
7/10 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
5/10 – Unplaced last time out
4/10 – Had run at Newmarket before
4/10 – Winning favourites (2 joint, 1 co)
4/10 – Returned a double-figure price
3/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Won by the Hills stable
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 19/2


2.55 – Adnams Bitter Fillies´ Nursery (CLASS 2) (2yo) Winner £25,876 CH4 Good To Firm 6f

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
3/4 – Had won at least won race before
3/4 – Carried 9-3 or less
3/4 – Drawn in stall 9 to 10
3/4 – Unplaced favourites
3/4 – Had won over 5 or 6f before
3/4 – Won by a March or April foal
0/4 – Winning favourites

THIRSK (C4 & RUK)


3.35 - totepool.com Thirsk Summer Cup (Handicap Stakes) (CLASS 3) (3yo+ 0-90) Winner £19,407 CH4 Good To Firm 1m

9/10 – Won over 1m or further before
9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Won from a single-figure stall
8/10 – Aged 4 or older
7/10 – Had run 4 or more times already that season
7/10 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/10 – Had won 5 or more times during their career
6/10 – Ran at either York, Newbury or Sandown last time
5/10 – Had run at Thirsk before
4/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1
Osteopathic Remedy won this race 12 months ago

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