Sat TV Trends: 4th Feb 2012

With jump racing likely to be thin on the ground this weekend we've got all the trends that matter for the whole Lingfield AW Saturday card.

 

LINGFIELD (ATR/C4)

12.55 - Bet On Today´s Football At bluesq.com Apprentice Handicap (CLASS 6) (4yo+ 0-60) Winner £1,704 ATR Standard 7f

3 previous runnings
2 of the last 3 runnings went to the favourite
All 3 winners carried 9-5 or LESS
Last 2 winners carried 9-2 – KUCHAROVA
Last three winners were drawn 8,5 & 11
All three had previously won a race at Lingfield
Jockey Charles Bishop is 4 from 7 when riding older horses here – BATCHWORTH BLAISE
Jockey Nora Looby is 2 from 7 when riding 4+year-olds at the track – MY JEANIE

1.25 - Blue Square Carnival iPhone App Selling Stakes (CLASS 6) (4yo+) Winner £1,704 ATR Standard 1m

50% of the last 10 runnings went to the favourite
9 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 or OLDER
9 of the last 10 winners returned 8/1 or SHORTER in the betting
50% of the last 10 returned 11/4 or SHORTER in the betting
Only 1 of the last 10 winners came from stall 1
7 of the last 10 had previous winning form over a mile
60% had won before at Lingfield
7 of the last 10 finished UNPLACED last time out
Trainer Ron Harris won this race 12 months ago – LUTINE CHARLIE
Trainer Bill Turner is only 2 from 46 with his older horses at the track - SIENNA BLUE
Ron Harris boasts a +£19.75 level stake profit at the track with his older horses – LUTINE CHARLIE
Mark Tompkins is 0 from 17 with his older horses at the course - MARVO
Jockey Jake Payne is 0 from 19 when riding older horses here – SIENNA BLUE
Luke Morris (44 wins) has ridden more winners (4+ year-olds) than all the other jockeys riding here put together at the track – HECTON LAD

2.00 - Blue Square Sprint Series Round 5 Handicap (Qualifier) (Div I) (CLASS 6) (4yo+ 0-65) Winner £2,727 ATR Standard 6f

Only 1 previous running
Trainer David Evans won the race 12 months ago with a 4 year-old – CAPTAIN DIMITRIOS
Trainer Christine Dunnett is only 1 from 35 with her older horses here - CAPTAINRISK
Richard Guest is just 3 from 54 when running older horses here – WAABEL & CUT THE CACKLE
Trainer John E Long is only 5 from 104 with his older horses at the track – FANTASY FIGHTER
Jockey Nora Looby is 2 from 7 when riding 4+year-olds at the track – FORTY PROOF
Jockey John Fahy is only 1 from 33 when riding 4+ year-olds here – FANTASY FIGHTER

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Note: this year’s race has been split into 2 divisions (2.00 & 2.30)

2.30 - Blue Square Sprint Series Round 5 Handicap (Qualifier) (Div II) (CLASS 6) (4yo+ 0-65) Winner £2,727 ATR/C4 Standard 6f

As above (2nd division)
Trainer  David Evans won div 1 of this race 12 months ago – MEMPHIS MAN
Richard Guest is just 3 from 54 when running older horses here – SLATEY HEN & ROYAL INTRUDER
Trainer John E Long is only 5 from 104 with his older horses at the course – CUSTOM HOUSE
Ron Harris has a +£19.75 level stake profit with his older runners here – DIAMOND VINE
Jockey Simon Pearce is just 4 from 63 when riding 4+ year-olds at the track – CUSTOM HOUSE

3.00 - Bet At Blue Square Handicap (CLASS 3) (4yo+ 0-95) Winner £6,792 ATR/C4 Standard 1m

Only 1 previous running
Last year’s winner finished 2nd at Lingfield on its previous run
Last year’s winner was a previous course winner
Trainer William Knight is 11 from 43 (26%) with his older horses at the track – TITAN TRIUMPH
David Barron is 8 from 25 (32%) with his 4+year-olds at the course - AMITOLA
John Bridger is just 7 from 134 (5%) with his older horses at the track – SHIFTING STAR
Jockey John Fahy is only 1 from 33 when riding 4+ year-olds here – LEVITATE
Joe Fanning is 20 from 118 (17% - best on show here) when riding older horses at Lingfield - AMITOLA

3.35 - Blue Square Bet Handicap (CLASS 3) (4yo+ 0-95) Winner £6,792 ATR/C4 Standard 1m4f

Only 1 winning favourite in the last 10 runnings
ALL 10 recent runners returned 8/1 or SHORTER in the betting
7 of the last 10 winners were aged either 4 or 5 years-old
7 of the last 10 carried 9-1 or LESS
No winner came from stall 1 in the last 10 years
70% of the last 10 winners came from stalls 2, 3, 4 & 6
6 of the last 10 finished placed last time out
8 of the last 10 ran at Lingfield last time out
Mark Johnston won this race in 2009 – EXEMPLARY
Richard Guest is just 3 from 54 when running older horses here – CASHELGAR
Jockey John Fahy is only 1 from 33 when riding 4+ year-olds here – FRANCO IS MY NAME
Fergus Sweeney has a -£126 level stake when riding older horses at the track – FIRST AVENUE

4.05 - Follow Us On Twitter @bluesq Median Auction Maiden Stakes (CLASS 6) (3-5yo) Winner £1,704 ATR Standard 1m

Only 1 previous running
Jeremy Noseda is 19 from 87 (22%) with his 3 year-olds at the track – FALCON’S REIGN
Eve Johnson-Houghton is only 1 from 25 with her older horses here – BARRISTERS BRIEF
Trainer Zoe Davison is just 2 from 32 with her older horses at the course – JUMEIRAH LIBERTY
Jockey Martin Lane is only 3 from 53 (6%) when riding 3 year-olds here - PALMYRA

4.35 - Play Blackjack At bluesq.com Maiden Stakes (CLASS 5) (3yo+) Winner £2,386 ATR Standard 7f

5 of the last 10 runnings went to the favourite
We’ve seen a 33/1 and 66/1 winners in the last 10 runnings
8 of the last 10 returned 5/1 or SHORTER in the betting
A 3 year-old has won 7 of the last 8 runnings
5 of the last 10 winners ran at Wolverhampton last time out
9 of the last 10 ran on the AW last time out
9 of the last 10 winners were drawn 2 or higher
Jeremy Noseda won this race in 2005 – ROXELANA
Jeremy Noseda is 19 from 87 (22%) with his 3 year-olds here - ROXELANA
Mark Tompkins is only 1 from 31 (3%) with his 3 year-olds at the track -JENNIFER
Jockey Martin Lane is only 3 from 53 (6%) when riding 3 year-olds here - JENNIFER

 

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