Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 4th June 2022

It’s Derby Day at Epsom Racecourse this weekend and like every Saturday we’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips on each contest.

Did you know that 18 of the last 20 Epsom Derby winners had finished 1st or 2nd in their last race, while 13 of the last 20 Derby winners came from a single-figure stall?

Supporting the big race, we’ve got four more LIVE races to take in that include the Epsom Dash, which is run over one of the quickest 5f courses in the world – blink and you’ll miss it!

We've got all the main trends and stats to help you find the best profiles of past winners of the LIVE ITV Epsom races.

EPSOM Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


2.00 –
Cazoo Handicap Cl2 1m2f18y ITV

19/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/19 – Never run at Epsom before
17/19 – Had won over 1m before (6 over 1m2f)
13/19 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
12/19 – Placed last time out
12/19 – Carried 8-10 or more
11/19 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/19 – Favourites that were placed
8/19 – Horses placed from stall 1
6/19 – Won their previous race
3/19 – Winners from stall 1
3/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/19 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/19 – Won by trainer Sylvester Kirk
2/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 4)
Stall 2 has just 3 places (1 win) to its name in the last 19 runnings

 

2.35 - Princess Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Investec) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m114y ITV

19/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
19/19 – Had won at Listed or Group 3 class before
15/19 – Drawn in stall 4,5,6, 7 or 8
16/19 – Favourites placed
15/19 – Drawn in stall 4,5,6, 7 or 8
15/19 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
15/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/19 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/19 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/19 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/19 – Had won between 4-6 times before
11/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
9/19 – Winning favourites
9/19 – Had raced at Epsom before
9/19 – Drawn in either stall 5 or 6
8/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/19 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/19 – Won by a Cheveley Park-owned horse
2/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/19 – Trained by Roger Charlton
Jockeys Silvestre de Sousa (2), James Doyle (3) and Frankie Dettori (3) have won 8 of the last 12 runnings
Godolphin have won 4 of the last 12 runnings

 

3.10 – CAZOO Diomed Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 1m 114y ITV

18/18 – Had won over at least a mile before
16/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
16/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/18 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
14/18 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
14/18 – Had won at least 4 times before
13/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Aged 5 or older
12/18 – Had raced at Epsom before
9/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/18 – Ridden by William Buick
2/18 – Trained by the Crisford stable



3.45 – Simpex Express "Dash" (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV

 

Epsom Dash Betting Trends and Stats

18/19 – Didn’t win last time out
17/19 – Raced within the last 6 weeks (13 within the last 4 weeks)
15/19 – Won by horses aged between 5 and 8 years-old (inc)
15/19– Unplaced favourites
14/19 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
14/19 – Came from stall 8 or higher
12/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/19 – Had raced at Epsom previously (5 had won)
5/19 – Horses from stall 1 that hit the frame
1/19 – Winning favourites (Duke Of Firenze, 2013)

 

4.30 – Cazoo Derby (In Memory Of Lester Piggott) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m4f10y ITV

Epsom Derby Betting Trends and Stats

19/20 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
18/20 – Raced no more than 5 times before
18/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/20 – Had won a Group race before
16/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
13/20 – Won last time out
13/20 – Won from a single-figure stall
12/20 – Favourites that were placed
11/20 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
10/20 – Irish-trained winners
8/20 – Had won a Group One before
7/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 8 in all)
6/20 – Won by the favourite
5/20 – Ran in the 2,000 Guineas that season (2 winners)
4/20 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
4/20 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
3/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won 5 in all)
2/20 – Won over 1m4f before
1/20 – Winners from stall 1 (Adayar)
0/20 – Run at the course before
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 8/1
10 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Golden Horn, 2015 being the most-recent)
Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby

Epsom Derby Trainer Stats

Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2010, 2004, 2003, 1986 & 1981
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018 and 2020

 

 

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