Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 4th March 2017

We’ve had better LIVE Saturday ITV race days, but with the Cheltenham Festival on the horizon then it’s no surprise – Newbury and Doncaster provide the LIVE ITV action this week, and, as always, we’ve got all the races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RUK)

 

1.30 – William Hill ‘High 5’ Supporting Greatwood Veterans´ Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f ITV

Just 2 previous runnings
Trainer Neil Mulholland has a 36% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Gary Moore is just 3 from 50 (6%) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs has a 20% strike-rate & +£104 level stakes profit with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Roger Teal won the race 12 months ago


2.05 - Betway Supporting Greatwood, Veterans´ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 3 of Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m2f110y ITV

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
7/8 – Aged 10 years-old
6/8 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
5/8 – Finished in the top 4 in their last race
4/8 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
4/8 – Favourites unplaced
2/8 – Won their last race
1/8 – Favourites
Trainer David Pipe won the race in 2015 & 2016


2.40 – William Hill ‘High 5’ Supporting Greatwood Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m110y ITV

14/14 – Won over this 2m trip (hurdles)
13/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/14 – Aged 6 or younger
11/14 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
11/14 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
10/14 – Favourites unplaced
9/14 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
7/14 – Ran at Newbury before
7/14 – Irish bred
6/14 – Rated 120 or less
6/14 – From the top three in the betting
4/14 – Won their last race
2/14 – Went onto finish in the first two in the County Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
2/14 – Winning Favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Trained by Gary Moore
Gala Ball won the race 12 months ago


3.15 – William Hill ‘High 5’ Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f ITV

13/14 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
13/14 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
11/14 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
11/14 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
11/14 – Won over this trip previously
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/14 – Officially rated 139 or higher
9/14 – Favourites placed
8/14 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
8/14 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
7/14 – Won by a French-bred horse
6/14 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/14 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/14 – Favourites  to win (1 joint)
5/14 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
2/14 – Won by the Pipe yard
2/14 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
1/14– Won their last race
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat


DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS ITV/RUK)


1.50 - BetBright Casino Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m96y ITV

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Aged 9 or younger
4/5 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
2/5 – Aged 9 years-old
2/5 – Favourites
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race for the past 2 years
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 42% (27 from 64) record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling has a 28% strike-rate (5 form 18) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain is just 2 from 46 (4%) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Peter Bowen is 0 from 28 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Tim Vaughan is 0 from 22 with his hurdlers at the track

2.25 - Betbright Handicap Chase Cl2 2m90y ITV

Six previous runnings
6/6 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
5/6 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
4/6 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
3/6 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
2/6 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
2/6 – Trained by Brian Ellison
1/6 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 26% record with his chasers at the track
Pauline Robson is 2 from 4 (50%) with her chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams is only 2 from 26 (8%) with her chasers at the track


3.00 – BetBright Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m96y ITV

Four previous running
4/4 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/4 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
3/4 - Won by the favourite (1 co-fav)
Trainer Oliver Sherwood won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Alan King has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain is just 2 from 46 (4%) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer David Pipe is just 1 from 21 (5%) with his hurdlers at the track

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3.35 – BetBright Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f ITV

13/13 – Aged 8 or older
12/13 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/13 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
10/13 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
10/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/13 – Aged 9 or older
9/13 – Rated 131 or less
9/13 – From the top 3 in the betting
9/13 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/13 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (3 winners)
6/13 – Won their last race
5/13 – Irish bred
3/13 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners) – Last year’s winner - The Last Samuri – went onto be 2nd in the National 12 months ago
2/13 – Favourites

 

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