Sat TV Trends: 4th May 2013

Dawn Approach

Dawn Approach Land the 1st Classic?

It's 2,000 Guineas Day at HQ this Saturday, while the C4 cameras are also taking in two races at Goodwood.

 

Newmarket (C4/RUK)

2.05 - Makfi Suffolk Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m1f CH4

8/8 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
8/8 – Had won at least twice before
8/8 – Had won over at least a mile bfore
7/8 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
6/8 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/8 – Rated between 90 and 95
6/8 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/8 – Aged 4 years-old
4/8 – Irish bred
4/8 – Having their first run of the season
3/8 – Won last time out
3/8 – Came from stall 9
1/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/1

2.35 - Pearl Bloodstock Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f CH4

9/10 – Aged 5 or less
9/10 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/10 – Had won over 5f before
9/10 – Won 3 or more times before
9/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/10 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
8/10 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Rated between 108 and 113
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Had run at Newmarket before
6/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/10 – Aged 5 years-old
4/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

3.10 - Qatar Bloodstock Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f CH4

10/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/10 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
8/10 – Won over 1m4f last time out
8/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/10 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
7/10 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Rated 112 or higher
6/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Had won a Group race before
5/10 – Aged 5 years-old
5/10 – Having their first run of the season
5/10 – Aged 4 years-old
3/10 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/10 – Won last time out

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3.50 - Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (205th Running) (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m CH4

11/11 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
10/11 – Won over at least 7f previously
10/11 – Won a Group race previously
10/11 – Won between 2-5 times previously
9/11 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
9/11 – Won their last race
7/11 –  From the top 3 in the market
7/11 – Having their first run of the season
7/11 – Had won only 2 or 3 times in their career previously
6/11 – Favourites placed
6/11 – Won by an Irish-based stable
5/11 – Had won over a mile previously
5/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
3/11 – Ran in the Epsom Derby (2 winners) later that season
3/11 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
3/11 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 9.5/1

Goodwood (C4/RUK)

2.20 - Betfred The Bonus King E.B.F Daisy Warwick Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f CH4

2 previous runnings
Luca Cumani has a 29% strike-rate with his older horses here
Ed Dunlop is 0 from 18 with his older horses here
Jockey Jim Crowley is just 4 from 86 when riding 4+year-olds

2.55 – Betfred Mobile Lotto Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

No previous runnings
Clive Cox is just 1 from 42 with his older horses
Amanda Perrett is only 2 from 52 with her older horses
Jockey Jim Crowley is just 4 from 86 when riding 4+year-olds

 

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