Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 4th May 2019

It’s day one of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, with the first English Classic of the season - the 2,000 Guineas - the feature race, while the ITV cameras are also taking in two races at Goodwood.

So, as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Spring Lodge Stakes (Handicap) (Formerly The Suffolk Stakes) Cl2 1m1f ITV

14/14 – Had won at least twice before
14/14 – Had won over at least a mile before
12/14 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
12/14 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
12/14 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
9/14 – Rated between 90 and 96
8/14 – Aged 4 years-old
6/14 – Having their first run of the season
6/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Irish bred
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 - Winning favourites
Trainer Charlie Appleby won the race in 2018
Just 1 winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 11 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

2.20 - Zoustar Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

15/16 – Had won over 5f before
14/16 – Won 3 or more times before
13/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/16 – Had run at Newmarket before
12/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Aged 5 or younger
10/16 – Rated between 108 and 114
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/16 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Mabs Cross (9/2) won the race in 2018
Just one placed horse from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

2.55 – Roaring Lion Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

16/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/16 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
13/16 – Won over 1m4f+ before
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
12/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Aged 4 years-old
9/16 – Rated 112 or higher
9/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Had won a Group race before
7/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Having their first run of the season
6/16 – Aged 5 years-old
5/16 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/16 – Returned 7/4 in the bettingc
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Trained by Andre Fabre
Defoe (1/2 fav) won this race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.35 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

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17/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/17 – Had won over at least 7f before
15/17 – Had won a Group race before
15/17 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/17 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
13/17 – Won last time out
13/17 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
12/17 – Having their first run of the season
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
10/17 – Won by an Irish-based yard
9/17 – Irish bred
8/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (9 wins)
7/17 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Had won over a mile before
5/17 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/17 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/17 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/17 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 10/1

 

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017 & 2018
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

 

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – British Stallion EBF Daisy Warwick Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/8 – Came between stalls 1-5 (inc)
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Aged 4 years-old
5/8 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/8 – Had won between 2-3 times before
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
2/8 – Winners from stall 2
2/8 – Had raced at Goodwood before
2/8 – Raced at Ascot last time out
1/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 11/2

2.40 – Goodwood May Food Festival Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Carried between 8-7 and 8-12
6/6 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
6/6 – Had won between 2-4 races before
4/6 – Winners that came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/6 – Ran at Kempton last time out
2/6 – Aged 4 years-old
2/6 – Finished second last time out
2/6 – Ridden by Shane Kelly
2/6 – Winners from stall 5
1/6 – Winning favourites
Taurean Star (12/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 12/1

 

 

 

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