Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 4th Nov 2017

As always we've got all the key race trends for this Saturday’s LIVE ITV races from Wetherby and Ascot, including the Grade Two Charlie Hall Chase.

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.50 - Ascot Underwriting Novices´ Limited Handicap Chase Cl3 2m3f ITV

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Irish bred
3/4 – Aged 6 year-old
2/4 – Yet to win over fences
2/4 – Had run over hurdles at Ascot before
0/4 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 25% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 22% record with his chasers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 13/2

 

2.25 – Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV

12/14 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
10/14 – Irish (4) or French (6) bred
9/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
9/14 – Having their first run of the new season
8/14 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
7/14 – Rated 130 or lower
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Aged 8 years-old
4/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
3/14 – Won carrying 11-12
3/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/14 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
Quite By Chance won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

3.00 -William Hill Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV

13/13 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
13/13 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
11/13 – Never raced at Ascot before
10/13 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
9/13 – Having their first run of the season
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
7/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (3) last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
5/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
4/13 – Won by a French bred horse
3/13 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
2/13 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/13 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/13 - Won by the Nicky Henderson team
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

3.35 – Sodexo Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV

12/12 – Had won a chase race over at least 2 ½m before
10/12 – Didn’t win last time out
9/12 – Had run at Ascot before (4 won)
8/12 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
8/12 – Unplaced favourites
8/12 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
8/12 – Having their first run of the season
8/12 – Unplaced in their last race
7/12 – Carried 10-10 or more
7/12 – Aged 8 or older
7/12 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
6/12 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
5/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/12 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Ran at Sandown last time out
Antony won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)


2.05 – OLBG.com Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV

10/10 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
9/10 – Never raced at Wetherby before
9/10 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
8/10 – Having their first run of the season
7/10 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
5/10 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
4/10 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by John Quinn
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

2.40 –  bet365 Hurdle (West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y ITV

15/15 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
14/15 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
14/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
12/15 – Failed to win their last race
12/15 – Officially rated 149 or higher
11/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
8/15 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
8/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/15 – Had won at Wetherby before
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Silsol won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

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3.15 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

13/15 – Were having their first run of the season
12/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
13/15 – Rated 151 or higher
11/15 – Aged 8 or older
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
9/15 – Ran at either Ayr (3), Aintree (4) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
9/15 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
6/15 – Had run at Wetherby before (2 won)
6/15  – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/15 – Trained by Evan Williams
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005 & 2007
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 15/2

 

 

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