Sat TV Trends: 5th June 2021

It’s Derby Day at Epsom Racecourse this weekend and like every Saturday we’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips on each contest.

Did you know that 17 of the last 19 Epsom Derby winners had finished 1st or 2nd in their last race, while 12 of the last 19 Derby winners came from a single-figure stall?

Supporting the big race, we’ve got four more LIVE races to take in that include the Epsom Dash, which is run over one of the quickest 5f courses in the world – blink and you’ll miss it!

 

EPSOM Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.00 – World Pool At The tote Handicap Cl2 1m2f18y ITV

18/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
16/18 – Never run at Epsom before
16/18 – Had won over 1m before (6 over 1m2f)
12/18 – Winners from stall 6 or higher
12/18 – Placed last time out
12/18 – Carried 8-10 or more
11/18 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/18 – Favourites that were placed
8/18 – Horses placed from stall 1
6/18 – Won their previous race
3/18 – Winners from stall 1
3/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/18 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/18 – Won by trainer Sylvester Kirk
2/18 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 3)
Stall 2 has just two places (1 win) to its name in the last 18 runnings

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

2.35 - Princess Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Investec) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m114y ITV

18/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
18/18 – Had won at Listed or Group 3 class before
15/18 – Drawn in stall 4,5,6, 7 or 8
15/18 – Favourites placed
14/18 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/18 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/18 – Had won between 4-6 times before
13/18 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/18 – Aged 4 years-old
9/18 – Winning favourites
9/18 – Had raced at Epsom before
9/18 – Drawn in either stall 5 or 6
8/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/18 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/18 – Won by a Cheveley Park-owned horse
2/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/18 – Trained by Roger Charlton
Jockeys Silvestre de Sousa (2), James Doyle (3) and Frankie Dettori (3) have won 8 of the last 11 runnings
Godolphin have won 4 of the last 11 runnings

3.10 – CAZOO Diomed Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 1m 114y ITV

17/17 – Had won over at least a mile before
15/17 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
15/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
13/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
13/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Aged 5 or older
11/17 – Had raced at Epsom before
8/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/17 – Ridden by William Buick
2/17 – Trained by the Crisford stable
Century Dream won this race in 2020



3.45 – World Pool "Dash" (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV

 

Epsom Dash Betting Trends and Stats

17/18 – Didn’t win last time out
16/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks (12 within the last 4 weeks)
14/18 – Won by horses aged between 5 and 8 years-old (inc)
14/18– Unplaced favourites
13/18 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
13/18 – Came from stall 8 or higher
12/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/18 – Had raced at Epsom previously (4 had won)
5/18 – Horses from stall 1 that hit the frame
1/18 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 17 renewals is 16.5/1
Ornate won this race in 2019
Caspian Prince won this race in 2014, 2016 and 2017
Duke Of Firenze won this race in 2013

4.30 – Cazoo Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m4f10y ITV

Epsom Derby Betting Trends and Stats

18/19 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
17/19 – Raced no more than 5 times before
17/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/19 – Had won a Group race before
16/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Won last time out
13/19 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
12/19 – Favourites that were placed
12/19 – Won from a single-figure stall
11/19 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
10/19 – Irish-trained winners
8/19 – Had won a Group One before
7/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 8 in all)
6/19 – Won by the favourite
5/19 – Ran in the 2,000 Guineas that season (2 winners)
4/19 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
3/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won 5 in all)
4/19 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
2/19 – Won over 1m4f before
0/19 – Run at the course before
0/19 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 15/2
10 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Golden Horn, 2015 being the most-recent)
Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby

 

Epsom Derby Trainer Stats

Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2010, 2004, 2003, 1986 & 1981
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018 and 2020

Other Recent Posts by This Author:

Your first 30 days for just £1
0 replies

Leave a Reply

Want to join the discussion?
Feel free to contribute!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.