Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 5th May 2018

It’s day one of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, with the first English Classic of the season - the 2,000 Guineas - the feature race, while the ITV cameras are also taking in two races at Goodwood.

So, as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Spring Lodge Stakes (Formerly The Suffolk Stakes) Cl2 1m1f ITV

13/13 – Had won at least twice before
13/13 – Had won over at least a mile before
11/13 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
11/13 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
11/13 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/13 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
8/13 – Rated between 90 and 95
7/13 – Aged 4 years-old
6/13 – Having their first run of the season
5/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
1/13 - Winning favourites
No winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

2.20 - Longholes Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

14/15 – Had won over 5f before
13/15 – Won 3 or more times before
13/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
12/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
12/15 – Had run at Newmarket before
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Rated between 108 and 114
10/15 – Aged 5 or younger
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/15 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Just one placed horse from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

2.55 – Dunaden Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
12/15 – Won over 1m4f before
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
11/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/15 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
8/15 – Rated 112 or higher
8/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Having their first run of the season
7/15 – Had won a Group race before
6/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Aged 5 years-old
4/15 – Returned 7/4 in the betting
4/15 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/15 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Trained by Andre Fabre
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.35 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

16/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Had won over at least 7f before
14/16 – Had won a Group race before
14/16 – Had won between 2-5 times before
12/16 – Won last time out
12/16 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
11/16 – Having their first run of the season
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
9/16 – Won by an Irish-based yard
9/16 – Irish bred
7/16 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (8 wins)
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Had won over a mile before
5/16 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/16 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/16 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/16 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 10/1

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Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015 & 2017
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

 

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Matchbook VIP/British EBF Daisy Warwick Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/7 – Came between stalls 1-5 (inc)
5/7 – Didn’t win last time out
5/7 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/7 – Had won between 2-3 times before
5/7 – Aged 4 years-old
4/7 – Unplaced favourites
2/7 – Winners from stall 2
2/7 – Had raced at Goodwood before
2/7 – Raced at Ascot last time out
1/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 11/2

2.40 – Commission Free Racing At Matchbook Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Carried between 8-7 and 8-12
5/5 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
5/5 – Had won between 2-4 races before
4/5 – Winners that came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/5 – Ran at Kempton last time out
2/5 – Aged 4 years-old
2/5 – Finished second last time out
2/5 – Ridden by Shane Kelly
2/5 – Winners from stall 5
1/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 12/1

 

 

 

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