Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 6th Aug 2016

The C4 cameras head to Ascot for their unique Shergar Cup meeting, while they are also at Newmarket and Haydock – Like all Saturday’s we've got all the LIVE C4 TV race trends…….

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ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (C4/MORE4)

13:15 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f More 4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/8 – Failed to win their last race
8/8 – Raced at Ascot previously
7/8 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
7/8 – Had 4 or more runs that season
7/8 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
6/8 – Won at least 3 times in their career
6/8 – Won at least 3 times in their career
5/8 – Favourites  placed
5/8 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/8 – Had won over 5f previously
3/8 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/8 – Favourites (1 joint)
3/8 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including last 2 runnings)
2/8 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
2 of the last 8 winners came from stall 11
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/2

1.45 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m More 4

12/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/12 – Rated between 86-94
10/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/12 – Carried 8-13 or more
10/12 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
10/12 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
9/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Had raced at the track before
9/12 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (4) last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/12 – Trained by Ian Williams
1/12 – Won last time out
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
3 of the last 7 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top 3 in 6 of the last 9 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

2.20 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f CH4

12/12 – Aged 6 or younger
11/12 – Officially rated between 87-94
10/12 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Won between 1-4 times previously
10/12 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
10/12 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
8/12 – Aged 4 years-old
8/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
6/12 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
5/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
5/12 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
3/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/12 – Favourites that won
No winners from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
3 of the last 10 winners came from stall 5
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

2.55 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

12/12 – Won over at least a mile before
12/12 – Failed to win last time out
12/12 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/12 – Rated between 92-100
11/12 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
9/12 – Won between 2-4 times before
8/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
7/12 – Had run at Ascot before
4/12 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/12 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/12 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 1
9 or the last 10 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

3.30 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – CH4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Raced 3 or more times that season
6/7 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
6/7 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
6/7 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Officially rated between 84-90
6/7 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
4/7 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/7 – Favourites placed
2/7 – Favourites that won
2/7 – Trained by Mark Johnston
6 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8 (2 each)
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 7/1

4.05 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f CH4

12/12 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
11/12 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
11/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
10/12 – Won between 2-3 times previously
10/12 – Won over 6f previously
10/12 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
9/12 – Officially rated between 86-94
8/12 – Came from the top three in the betting market
8/12 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
8/12 – Favourites placed
6/12 – Had run at Ascot previously
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
3/12 – Favourites
5 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.35 - Betfred Haydock Park Ladies´ Trophy Handicap (Pro-Am Lady Riders´ Race) Cl3 1m3f200y CH4

No previous runnings
No previous runnings Trainer Richard Fahey is just 7 from 132 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 5 from 64 with his runners at the track
Miss Joanna Mason is 1 from 2 riding at the track
Rachel Richardson has a 32% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

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3.45 - Betfred Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f95y CH4

13/13 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Yet to run at Haydock
11/13 – Favourites placed
11/13 – Won over 1m2f or further
11/13 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
11/13 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
11/13 – Won a Listed or better class race before
10/13 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
10/13 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
10/13 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
9/13 – Won 3 or more times during their career
9/13 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Finished unplaced in their last race
4/13 – Favourites that won
2/13 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/13 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2


NEWMARKET (JULY) Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

3.15 - German-Thoroughbred.com Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

12/13 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
12/13 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/13 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
12/13 – Won just once previously
12/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/13 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
9/13 – Favourites placed
9/13 – Had won over only 6f previously
8/13 – Won their last race
7/13 – Had just one previous run
7/13 –  Favourites that won
7/13 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
6/13 – Raced at Newmarket (4) or Sandown (2) last time out
5/14 – Won by Godolphin
3/14 – Won over 7f previously
3/14 – Trained by the Hills stable
1 winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
4 of the last 9 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Take Cover took this race in 2014 and a close second 12 months ago so no issues on the track and trip. Didn't work out at Ascot last time out as the ground went too soft for him and the draw not ideal. In really good form at home and at this course and on this quicker ground confident of a good run. Tough race, but looks a great e/w price."
David C Griffiths

29/07/16 1st 8/1

"Palmerston - Won well for us two runs back beating a fair yardstick in Fort Jefferson. That was over a mile so the return to this trip after trying 1m2f last time is a big plus. Yes, 5lbs higher than that win and higher grade but the horse is very well at home and I think we head here with a great each-way chance at a nice price. We've a few out today, but this one looks the value e/w bet from all my runners."
Mick Appleby

23/07/16 1st 20/1 

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