Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 6th Jan 2018

Another MASSIVE day for the ITV4 horse racing cameras as they head to Wincanton and Sandown for more LIVE coverage, plus are also showing the rescheduled Coral Welsh National from Chepstow.
Like every Saturday we take you through all the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and hopefully find a few winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV4)

1.50 – 32Red Casino Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV4

11/11 – Won over at least 2m (chase) previously
10/11 – Ran within the last 2 months
10/11 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
10/11 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/11 – Never raced at Sandown
9/11 – Favourites placed
8/11 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/11 – Irish bred
8/11 – Officially rated 135 or higher
8/11 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
8/11 – Won between 1-4 times over fences in the UK previously
6/11 – Unplaced last time out
6/11 – Winning Favourites
6/11 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
4/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/11 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Champion Chase, Grand Annual)
3/11 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/11 – Won their last race
Trainer Philip Hobbs has won the last 2 runnings
Garde La Victoire won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 8 running is 9/2

2.25 – 32Red Tolworth Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

13/13 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
13/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
12/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
11/13 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
11/13 – Came from the top three in the market
11/13 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
10/13 – Won last time out
10/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
8/13 – Won by an Irish bred horse
7/13 – Winning Favourites
7/13 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
4/13 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
4/13 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/13 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/13 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
3/13 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
2/13 – Ran at Sandown before
2/13 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
1/13 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Noland 2006)
1/13 - Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 19 of the last 25 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 10/3

3.00 - 32RedSport.com Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (The Final of The 2015 Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m37y ITV4

Just 2 previous runnings
Pete The Feat won the race in 2017
The David Pipe yard won the race in 2016
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 43% (3 from 7) record with his chasers here
Trainer Gary Moore has a 27% (11 from 41) record with his chasers here
Trainer Colin Tizzard is just 1 from 29 with his chasers here
Trainer Tom George is 2 from 25 with his chasers here
Jockey Joshua Moore has a 24% record riding over fences at the track

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3.35 –32Red Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV4

11/12 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
10/12 – Won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) previously
10/12 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
10/12 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
9/12 – Unplaced last time out
8/12 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
6/12 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/12 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
6/12 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
6/12 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
5/12 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
4/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
4/12 – Irish bred
3/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/12 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/12 – Trained by Venetia Williams
0/12 – Winning favourites
Rayvin Black won the race in 2015 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 11/1

Note: 2002 & 2003 runnings were staged at Ascot

Wincanton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/ITV4)

2.40– smarkets.com Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4f ITV4

6/6 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
5/6 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
5/6 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
5/6 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
5/6 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
5/6 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
4/6 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/6 – French bred
2/6 – Ran at Exeter last time out
2/6 – Trained by Tom George
1/6 – Winning favourite
1/6 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 6 runs is 13/2

3.15 – S Markets Chase (A Novices’ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m4f35y ITV4

Just 2 previous runs
Trainer David Pipe has a 30% record with his chasers here
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 27% record with his chasers here

3.45 –  S Markets Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f82y ITV4

Just 1 previous run
Trainer Kim Bailey has a 24% record with his hurdlers here
Trainer Neil King is 2 from 5 (40%) with his hurdlers here
Trainer Jamie Snowden is 0 from 22 with his hurdlers here
James Best has a 4% (2 from 49) record riding over hurdles here

Chepstow Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/ITV4)

1.35 – coral.co.uk Future Champions Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

12/13 – Won between 0-2 times previously
12/13 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
12/13 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
10/13 – Aged 3 years-old
9/13 – French bred
6/13 – Won their last race
4/13 – Raced at the track previously
3/13 – Raced at Newbury last time out
4/13 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Alan King
Defi Du Seuil (4/5 fav) won the race 12 months ago

2.05 Coral Welsh Grand National Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m 5 1/2f ITV4

15/15 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
15/15 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
15/15 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
14/15 – Aged 9 or younger
13/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
12/15 – Aged 8 or younger
11/15 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
10/15 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
10/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Irish bred
8/15 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
6/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – French bred
5/15 – Had run in the Welsh National before
4/15 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
2/15 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 10/1

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