Sat TV Trends: 6th July 2024

The ITV cameras head to Sandown and Haydock on Saturday 6th July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always, here at Geegeez we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 - Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV

21/22 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
20/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Favourites placed
17/22 – Had won at least 3 times before
15/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/22 – Winning favourites
7/22 – Had won at Sandown before
8/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Ran at Ascot last time out
10 of the last 18 winners were Irish bred
13 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
Equality (7/1) won the race in 2023
Raasel (5/2) won the race in 2022

2.25 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

21/22 – Aged 6 or younger
20/22 – Carried 8-8 or more
20/22 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
19/22 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
18/22 – Didn’t win their previous race
16/22 – Placed favourites
13/22 – Had run at Sandown before
12/22 – Aged 4 years-old
11/22 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (9) last time out
8/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/22 - Trained by William Haggas (won 2 of the last 5 runnings)
14 of the last 18 winners came from stall 8 or lower
Perotto (5/1 jfav) won the race in 2023

3.00 – Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m14y ITV

19/20 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
18/20 – Had never run at Sandown before
17/20 – Had won over 7f or further before
16/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/20 – Favourites that finished in the top three
11/20 – Finished in the top three last time out
5/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 - Trained by William Haggas (3 of last 5)
2/20 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 8)
16 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 3-9 (inc)
10 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6

3.35 – Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

22/22 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
18/22 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
18/22 – Won by a previous Group One winner
17/22 – Placed favourites
17/22 – Placed in their last race
15/22 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/22 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (four won there)
10/22 – Favourites that won
7/22 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
6/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
5/22 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4/22 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 11)
9 of the last 17 winners won last time out
2 of the last 15 Epsom Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
16 of out the last 19 winners had run in the previous 30 days
15 out of the last 19 winners were Group 1 winners
18 of the last 19 winners came from the first four in the betting
16 out of the last 19 winners had won over 1m 2f or further
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 4/1

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2023, 2021, 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995, 2016 & 2020
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 11 runnings (2012, 2015, 2018 & 2019)

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 1m6f95y ITV

7 previous runnings
7/7 - Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 - Drawn between stalls 4-9 (inc)
6/7 – Won between 1-2 times
6/7 – Yet to win over 1m6f
6/7 - Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Rated between 80-87
5/7 – Didn’t win last race
4/7 - Carried 8-13 or more in weight
4/7 – Finished 1st or 2nd in last race
4/7 – Placed favourites
3/7 – Had run at Haydock before (2 winners)
3/7 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/7 - Winning favourites
3/7 – Won by a claiming jockey
William Haggas trained the winner in 2020, 2022 and 2024
The Johnston yard trained the winner in 2018 and 2019
John Gosden trained the winner in 2017

2.40 – bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y ITV

19/22 – Had won at least at Listed class before
19/22 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
19/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
17/22 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/22 – Placed favourites
15/22 – Had won between 1-3 times before
13/22 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/22 – Won last time out
12/22 – Had won over 1m4f before
8/22 – Trained by John Gosden
7/22 – Winning favourites
7/22 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/22 – Raced at Ascot last time out
Poptronic (12/1) won the race in 2023
The last 11 runnings have been won by a 4 year-old
Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.15 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV

20/22 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
16/22 – Aged 5 or younger
16/22 – Won no more than 5 times before
16/22 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
15/22 – Had won at least 3 times before
14/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
14/22 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
13/22 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/22 – Aged 4 years-old
11/22 – Irish or USA bred
11/22 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/22 – Raced within the last 7 days
8/22 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
8/22 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
7/22 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/22 – Had won a race at Haydock before
6/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/22 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/22 – Trained by Marco Botti
2/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1

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