Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 6th May 2017

It’s day one of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are also taking in two races at Goodwood. As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

Saturday 6th May 2017

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)


1.50 - championsofracing.co.uk Suffolk Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

12/12 – Had won at least twice before
12/12 – Had won over at least a mile before
11/12 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
10/12 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
10/12 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
9/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/12 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
7/12 – Rated between 90 and 95
6/12 – Aged 4 years-old
5/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Having their first run of the season
5/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Came from stall 9
1/12 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10.5/1

2.20 - Longholes Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

13/14 – Had won over 5f before
12/14 – Won 3 or more times before
12/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
11/14 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
11/14 – Had run at Newmarket before
11/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Rated between 108 and 114
9/14 – Aged 5 or younger
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Profitable won the race in 2016
Goldream won the race in 2015
Just one placed horse from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

2.55 – Dunaden Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

14/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/14 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
11/14 – Won over 1m4f before
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
10/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/14 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Aged 4 years-old
7/14 – Rated 112 or higher
7/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Having their first run of the season
6/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Had won a Group race before
6/14 – Aged 5 years-old
4/14 – Returned 7/4 in the betting
4/14 – Ran at Newbury last time out
2/14 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/14 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Trained by Andre Fabre
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.35 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

15/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/15 – Had won over at least 7f before
13/15 – Had won a Group race before
13/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before
11/15 – Won last time out
11/15 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
10/15 – Having their first run of the season
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Won by an Irish-based yard
8/15 – Irish bred
6/15 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (7 wins)
5/15 – Had won over a mile before
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/15 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
3/15 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
3/15 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012 & 2015
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

Your first 30 days for just £1


Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Betfred TV EBF Stallions Daisy Warwick Stakes (Fillies´ & Mares) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/6 – Had won between 2-3 times before
3/6 – Unplaced favourites
4/6 – Aged 4 years-old
2/6 – Winners from stall 2
2/6 – Had raced at Goodwood before
2/6 – Raced at Ascot last time out
1/6 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 11/2

2.40 – Betfred "Treble Odds On Lucky 15´s" Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

Just 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Carried between 8-7 and 8-12
4/4 – Had won between 2-4 races before
4/4 – Winners that came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
3/4 – Ran at Kempton last time out
2/4 – Aged 4 years-old
2/4 – Finished second last time out
1/4 – Winning favourites
Russian Realm won this in 2016
Fiftyshadesofgrey won this in 2015

 

 

 

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