Sat TV Trends: 6th Oct 2012

It's Off To Ascot This Saturday....

Like every Saturday we've got all the LIVE C4 action covered from a stats angle - this week from Ascot, Newmarket and Redcar....

 

 

Ascot (C4/ATR)

 

2.00 - BMW Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (2yo) CH4 5f

9/10 – Had won over 5f previously
8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/10 – Ran within the last 30 days
8/10 – Rated 98 or more
7/10 – Had raced 5 or times
7/10 – Foaled in March or later
7/10 – Won at twice or more before
7/10 – Winning distance - 1 ½ or less
6/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
5/10 – Won a Listed or Group race previously
4/10 – Filly winners
4/10 – Won their last race
4/10 – Raced at Ayr last time out
3/10 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

Note: The 2004 race was run at Newmarket and the 2005 renewal was staged at Salisbury

 

2.30 - Grosvenor Casinos Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) CH4 1m4f

10/10 – Finished fourth or better last time out
10/10 – Placed favourites
10/10 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won over 1m4f before
8/10 – Won at Listed or better class before
8/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/10 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Had won 4 or more times before
7/10 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
7/10 – Had 5 or more runs that season
6/10 – Had raced at the course before (4 won)
6/10 – Favourites to win
5/10 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
5/10 – Favourites placed
4/10 – Trained by Marcus Tregoning
2/10 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
0/10 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 2/1

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.05 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) CH4 6f

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Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Won over 6f previously
4/4 – Winning distance - 3/4 length or less
4/4 – Won 4 or more times previously
4/4 – Rated 100 or higher
4/4 – Had ran within the last 30 days
3/4 – Aged 4 or older
3/4 – Returned a double-figure price
3/4 - Raced 6 or more times that season
2/4 – Won by trainer Chris Wall and Royal Rock
2/4 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/4 – Won their previous race
0/4 – Favourites to win
The average winning SP in the last 4 years is 12/1

 

3.35 - Betfred Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+) CH4 7f
9/10 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
9/10 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
8/10 – Won over 7f previously
8/10 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/10 – Had raced within the last 30 days
7/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/10 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
7/10 – Raced at Ascot previously
6/10 – Raced 7 or more times that season
6/10 – Returned a double-figure price
3/10 – Raced at Ayr last time out
2/10 – Favourites to win
2/10 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/10 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/10 – Won their previous race
0/10 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/1

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

Newmarket (C4/RUK)

 

2.15 –£300,000 Tattersalls Millions 2yo Fillies´ Trophy (CLASS 2) (2yo) Winner £166,513 CH4 7f

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
4/4 – Foaled in February
3/4 – Had 5 previous runs
3/4 – Won between 1 and 2 previous races
3/4 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
3/4 – Horse from stall 3 finishing second
2/4 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/4 – Winning favourites
1/4 – Had won over 7f before
0/4 – Failed to win their last race
The average winning SP in the last 4 years is 13/2

2.50 – £500,000 Tattersalls Millions 2yo Trophy (CLASS 2) (2yo) Winner £277,522 CH4 7f

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Foaled in March (2) or April (2)
3/4 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
3/4 – Winning distance 1 length or less
3/4 – Unplaced favourites
2/4 – Won last time out
2/4 – Won over 7f before
2/4 – Returned 33/1 or bigger in the betting
1/4 – Winning favourites
0/4 – Filly winners
The average winning SP in the last 4 years is 28/1

 

3.20 - Piper-Heidsieck "Rare" Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-100) Winner £12,450 CH4 1m2f

8/8 – Placed favourites
7/8 – Carried 9-1 or less
6/8 – Had 4 or more runs before
6/8 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
5/8 – Rated between 80-86
5/8 – Had only won once before
5/8 – Winning favourites
4/8 – Ran at either Pontefract (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
4/8 – Had run at Newmarket before (2 won)
3/8 – Won last time out

 

Redcar (C4/RUK)


3.45 - totepool.com Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) CH4 6f

9/10 – Foaled in March or later
9/10 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
8/10 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
7/10 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
7/10 – Had won over 6f before
7/10 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
6/10 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
6/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/10 – Trained by Stan Moore
1/10 – Winning favourites
1/10 – Filly winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1

 

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