Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 7th Jan 2017

Another MASSIVE day for the ITV4 horse racing cameras as they move to Wincanton and Sandown for more LIVE coverage - with the Tolworth Hurdle at the Esher track the weekend feature.

Like every Saturday horse racing trends expert Andy Newton takes you through all the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and hopefully find a few winners.

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Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV4)

1.50 – 32Red Casino Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV4

10/10 – Won over at least 2m (chase) previously
9/10 – Ran within the last 2 months
9/10 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
9/10 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/10 – Never raced at Sandown
8/10 – Favourite placed
7/10 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
7/10 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Officially rated 135 or higher
7/10 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
7/10 – Won between 1-4 times over fences in the UK previously
5/10 – Unplaced last time out
5/10 – Winning Favourites
5/10 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
4/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/10 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Champion Chase, Grand Annual)
3/10 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/10 – Won their last race
Bold Henry won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 8 running is 5/1


2.25 – 32Red Tolworth Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

12/12 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
12/12 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
11/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
10/12 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
10/12 – Came from the top three in the market
10/12 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
9/12 – Won last time out
9/12 – Placed favourites
8/12 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
7/12 – Won by an Irish bred horse
6/12 – Favourites
6/12 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
4/12 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
4/12 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/12 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/12 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
3/12 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
2/12 – Ran at Sandown before
2/12 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
1/12 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Noland 2006)
1/12 - Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 18 of the last 24 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 7/2


3.00 - 32RedSport.com Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (The Final of The 2015 Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m37y ITV4

1 previous running
The David Pipe yard won the race 12 months ago
Tom Scudamore rode the winner in 2016
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 25% record with his chasers here
Trainer Colin Tizzard is just 1 from 23 with his chasers here
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies is 1 from 23 with his chasers here
Jockey Daryl Jacob has a 34% record riding over fences at the track
Jockey Sam Twiston-Davies is just 2 from 39 riding over fences here


3.35 –32Red Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV4

10/11 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
10/11 – Won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) previously
10/11 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
9/11 – Unplaced last time out
9/11 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
8/11 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
6/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/11 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
6/11 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
5/11 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
5/11 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
4/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
4/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/11 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/11 – Trained by Venetia Williams
0/11 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 11/1

Note: 2002 & 2003 runnings were staged at Ascot

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Wincanton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/ITV4)


2.40 – Bathwick Tyres Yeovil Chase (A Novices’ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m4f35y ITV4

Trainer Nicky Henderson has 40% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain is 2-from-2 with his chasers at the course
Trainer Harry Fry has a 25% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 26% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Tom George has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Neil Mulholland is just 2 from 30 with his chasers at the track


3.15 -  Bathwick Tyres Poole Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f82y ITV4

Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 39% record with his hurdlers here
Trainer Neil King is 2 from 5 with his hurdlers here
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 22% record with his hurdlers here
Trainer Sue Gardner is just 1 from 26 with his hurdlers here
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill is just 1 from 33 with his hurdlers here
Trainer Jamie Snowden is just 1 from 24 with his hurdlers here
Daryl Jacob has a 28% record riding over hurdles here

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Very disappointing run last time for Grand Facile. Using different tactics this time and if all goes well, may have a chance at a fair price being a former CD winner here."
Gary Moore

04/01/17 2nd 25/1

"Prisom - Tried over a mile last time but didn't really enjoy that. The return to 7f is, therefore, a big plus as is the return to Southwell. Looks a race with several (including us) with similar-looking chances, but she is well and so e/w claims."
Gay Kelleway

02/01/17 2nd 9/1

"Omintago - We look to have a decent chance here if running to the same level as last time when second at Wolverhampton. First run on the surface but no reason why it won't suit. Seems to be getting the hang of things now too so everything in place for a big run and looks one of my better chances on the day."
Mick Appleby

02/01/17 1st 11/10

 

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