Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 7th May 2016

The C4 cameras are at Haydock, Ascot and Lingfield – including their Derby & Oaks trials today – As always we've got all the LIVE C4 races covered from a trends & stats angle.

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Haydock Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.15 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Swinton Hurdle Race) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m CH4

13/13 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
13/13 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
13/13 – Carried 11-5 or less
12/13 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
9/13 – Carried 10-8 or less
8/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/13 – Irish bred
8/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
5/13 – Returned a double-figure price
5/13 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Ran at Ayr last time out
3/13 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
2/13 – Trained by Evan Williams
2/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/13 – Irish-trained winners
War Sound won the race 12 months ago
4 of the last 10 winners returned 16/1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1


2.45 - Pertemps Network Spring Trophy Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f CH4

9/10 – Aged 6 or younger
9/10 – Had won over 7f before
9/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Rated between 105 and 112
8/10 – Had between 2-5 previous wins
7/10 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
6/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Winners from stall 1-4
6/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
6/10 – Aged between 4 and 5 years-old
2/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/10 – Won last time out
Trained David O’Meara won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2


3.20 - Pertemps Network Long Distance Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m

10/11 – Had won at least twice over hurdles before
10/11 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Rated 130+
9/11 – Aged 8 or younger
9/11 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
7/11 – Carried 11-0 or less
6/11 – Had won over 3m (hurdles) before
6/11 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/11 – Returned a double-figure price
5/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/11 – Had run at the track before (1 won) (hurdles)
4/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/11 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/11 – Ridden by Jamie Moore
1/11 – Winning favourites
Alternatif was runner-up in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)


2.30 - Leo Bancroft Signature Haircare Handicap Cl3 1m4f CH4

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Carried 9-3 or less
5/5 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Aged 4 years-old
1/5 – Winning favourites
Trainer William Haggas is just 1 from 35 with his older horses at the track
Trainer George Baker is just 1 from 31 with his older horses at the track
Jockey Jim Crowley is only 2 from 57 riding older horses at the track


3.05 - Carey Group Buckhounds Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f CH4

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9/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/10 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
6/10 – Favourites placed
6/10 – Had won 3 or more times before
5/10 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
5/10 – Had raced at Ascot before
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Had won over 1m4f before
3/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/10 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/10 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2


3.40 - EBF Breeders´ Series Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m CH4

10/10 – Failed to win last time out
10/10 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
9/10 – Had won over a mile before
8/10 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
8/10 – Aged 5 or younger
7/10 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/10 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
7/10 – Aged 4 years-old
6/10 – Rated between 82-87
6/10 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
5/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2


4.15 - totepool Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

12/13 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
11/13 – Had won over 7f before
10/13 – Carried 8-10 or less
10/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/13 – Aged 5 or younger
10/13 – Had won no more than 3 times
8/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
7/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Had run at Ascot before (4 winners)
4/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/1
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)


2.50 - Betfred "Be Part Of The Action" Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y CH4

10/10 – Aged 5 or younger
10/10 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Won between 1-4 times before
7/10 – Had won over 7f before
7/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Irish-bred
6/10 – Drawn in stall 3 (3) or 7 (3)
5/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Non UK-trained winners
3/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/10 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2


3.25 - Betfred Mobile Oaks Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y CH4

11/12 – Had won no more than once before
10/12 – Had no more than 3 career runs
9/12 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/12 – Came from stall 5 or higher
9/12 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
7/12 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
6/12 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
6/12 – Having first run of the season
6/12 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
5/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Winners from stall 5
4/12 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
3/12 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/12 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
1/12 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2


4.00 - betfred.com Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y CH4

13/13 – Had won no more than 3 times
11/13 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (no winners)
10/13 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Finished 4th or better last time out
9/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
4/13 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/13 – Won last time out
4/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
The last winner to go on and win the Epsom Derby was High Rise 1998

 

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