Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 7th May 2020

This Saturday the ITV horse racing cameras are busy again - they are taking in nine races across three tracks.

At Haydock, the Swinton Hurdle is the feature, while it's also Derby/Oaks Trial Day at Lingfield. Then at Ascot, we've four more live ITV races, with the Victoria Cup one of the highlights.

Here at Geegeez, we've got all the key trends for you to help whittle down the runners and hopefully point you in the direction of a few winners

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.00 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Swinton Hurdle Race) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

18/18 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
18/18 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
17/18 – Carried 11-5 or less
17/18 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
16/18 – Didn’t win last time out
15/18 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Irish bred
11/18 – Carried 10-8 or less
10/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/18 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6/18 – Returned a double-figure price
6/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/18 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 8 runnings)
3/18 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/18 – Irish-trained winners

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

 

1.45 - Royal Ascot Local Schools Art Competition Handicap (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-95) 1m4f

Only 9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/9 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Won 2 or 3 times before
7/9 – Rated between 86 and 91
7/9 – Carried 9-4 or less
7/9 – Aged 4 years-old
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
7/9 – Favourites placed in the top 3
4/9 – Won on reappearance run (4 of last 5)
4/9 – Drawn in stalls 5-8 (inc)
4/9 – Horses from stall 11 placed (1 winner)
4/9 – Had raced at Ascot before
4/9 – Winning favourites (3 of last 5)
2/9 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/9 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni

2.20 – Carey Group Buckhounds Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

13/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Had raced at Ascot before
9/16 – Had won 3 or more times before
9/16 – Winning favourites (inc co or joint)
9/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
7/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/16 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 13 winners ALL came from stalls 5 or lower

Note: The 2020 race was staged at Newmarket

3.30 – UK British EBF Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

14/15 – Failed to win last time out
15/15 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
13/15 – Had won over a mile before
13/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/15 – Aged 5 or younger
11/15 – Aged 4 years-old
10/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Carried 9-0 or more
9/15 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
9/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
8/15 – Rated between 82-87
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/15 – Winning favourites

4.05 – tote Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

15/18 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
15/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/18 – Aged 5 or younger
15/18 – Had won no more than 3 times
14/18 – Had won over 7f before
12/18 – Carried 8-10 or less
11/18 – Unplaced favourites
10/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/18 – Had run at Ascot before (6 winners)
5/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 12 years

The last 8 winners came from a double-figure draw

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

 

2.05 - SBK Handicap (Class 4) (4yo+ 0-80) 7f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Anthony Carson has a 50% record at the track with his 4+ year-olds
Jockey William Buick has a 38% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Jack Mitchell has a 30% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Rob Hornby has a 25% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

2.40 – SBK Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

19/19 – Had won no more than 3 times
15/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/19 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
14/19 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Finished 4th or better last time out
14/19 – Favourites placed
12/19 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
8/19 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
7/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
5/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby

 

3.15 - SBK Oaks Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4 

16/18 – Had won no more than once before
15/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had no more than 3 career runs
15/18 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/18 – Came from stall 5 or higher
11/18 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
10/18 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
9/18 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/18 – Having first run of the season
8/18 – Won last time out
7/18 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (4) last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
5/18 – Winners from stall 5
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden
4/18 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/18 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/18 – Trained by William Haggas
2/18 – Irish-trained winners

3.50 - SBK Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4

15/15 – Aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
12/15 – Won between 1-4 times before
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Had won over 7f before
10/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Irish-bred
8/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Drawn in stall 3 (4) or 7 (3)
6/15 – Non UK-trained winners
5/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/15 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
3/15 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 12 winners returned double-figures in the betting

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