Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 7th Oct 2017

We take you through the seven LIVE ITV4 races this Saturday at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket from a trends angle – Did you know that 13 of the last 15 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

Use these key trends to find the best profiles of recent winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

 

1.50 – Hope And Homes For Children Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

13/13 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
13/13 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/13 – Won over 5f before
11/13 – Rated 101 or higher
11/13 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
10/13 – Aged 5 or younger
9/13 – Had won between 3-7 times before
8/13 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
6/13 – Raced at Newbury last time out
5/13 – Irish bred
3/13 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/13 – Won last time out
1/13 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 10 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

2.25 - Gigaset Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

15/15 - Finished fourth or better last time out
13/15 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/15 – Placed favourites
12/15 – Won at Listed or better class before
12/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/15 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
10/15 – Had 5 or more runs that season
10/15 – Had raced at the course before (5 won)
10/15 – Won last time out
9/15 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/15 – Favourites to win
6/15 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
5/15 – Trained by Marcus Tregoning
2/15 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/15 – Filly or mare winners
The last 9 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.00 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Won over 6f previously
9/9 – Officially rated 100 or higher
8/9 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
8/9 – Won 4 or more times previously
7/9 – Had run within the last 30 days
6/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/9 – Raced 6 or more times that season
5/9 – Won their previous race
3/9 – Returned a double-figure price
2/9 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/9 – Favourites to win
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 4 of the last 6 runnings (2 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 4 of the last 6 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 8/1

3.35 – totescoop6 Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

14/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/15 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
12/15 – Won over 7f previously
10/15 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/15 – Had raced within the last 30 days
10/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/15 – Raced at Ascot previously
9/15 – Raced 7 or more times that season
7/15 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
7/15 – Returned a double-figure price
5/15 – Raced at Ayr last time out
4/15 – Favourites to win
2/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/15 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/15 – Won their previous race
0/15 – Filly or mare winners
6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 9 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
4 of the last 9 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.05 - British EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Sprint Handicap Cl2 6f ITV4

Just 1 previous running
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Mick Channon has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is just 6 from 102 (6%) with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.40 - Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

11/13 – Had won over at least 1m before
11/13 – Previous Group winners
11/13 – Won between 3-5 times before
10/13 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Rated between 113 and 119
8/13 – Previous Group One winners
6/13 – Aged 3 years-old
5/13 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/13 – French-trained winners
5/13 – Raced at Deauville last time out
4/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 10 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 3 of the last 11 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

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Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

3.20 - totepool Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

12/15 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
10/15 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
9/15 – Foaled in March or later
9/15 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
9/15 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/15 – Had won over 6f before
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/15 – Filly winners
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/15 – Trained by Stan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

 

 

 

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