Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 8th July 2017

The ITV cameras head to Sandown and Haydock on Saturday 8th July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle -  As always we've got all the key trends & stats to help you narrow down the fields, and hopefully point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Saturday 8th July 2017

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

 

1.50 - Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV

15/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Favourites placed
12/15 – Had won at least 3 times before
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Had won at Sandown before
5/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/15 – Won last time out
6 of the last 11 winners were Irish bred
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
Brando (2/1 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

2.25 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Carried 8-8 or more
13/15 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
13/15 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
11/15 – Didn’t win their previous race
10/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
9/15 – Had run at Sandown before
8/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/15 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (4) last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
9 of the last 11 winners came from stall 8 or lower
Secret Art (16/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

3.00 – Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m14y ITV

14/14 – Had at least 1 previous run already that season
13/14 – Had never run at Sandown before
12/14 – Had won over 7f or further before
11/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Finished in the top three last time out
7/14 – Favourites that finished in the top three
4/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Light Up Our World (20/1) won the race 12 months ago
The last 11 winners came from stalls 3-8 (inc)
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

3.35 – Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

Eclipse Stakes Past Winners

2016 – Hawkbill (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (4/9 fav)
2014 – Mukhadram (14/1)
2013 – Al Kazeem (15/8 fav)
2012 – Nathaniel (7/2)
2011 – So You Think (4/11 fav)
2010 -  Twice Over (13/8 fav)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/7 fav)
2008 – Mount Nelson (7/2)
2007 – Notnowcato (7/1)
2006 –David Junior (9/4)
2005 –Oratorio (12/1)
2004 –Refuse To Bend (15/2)
2003 –Falbrav (8/1)
2002 – Hawk Wing (8/15 fav)

Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends

15/15 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
13/15 – Won by a previous Group One winner
13/15 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
12/15 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
10/15 – Placed in their last race
7/15 – Favourites that won
5/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
4/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/15 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4 of the last 10 winners won last time out
2 of the last 8 Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 9/2

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994 & 1993
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995 & 2016
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 5 runnings

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 - bet365 Handicap Cl3 1m2f95y ITV

4 previous runnings
4/4 - Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
4/4 - Carried 9-3 or more
4/4 - Officially rated between 88-94
Wall Of Fire (4/1) won the race 12 months ago
Jockey Andrea Atzeni has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners

2.40 – bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y ITV

12/15 – Had won at least at Listed class before
12/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/15 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
9/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/15 – Trained by John Gosden
5/15 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/15 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/15 – Trained by David Elsworth
2/15 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/15 – Ridden by Jimmy Fortune
Endless Time won the race 12 months ago (11/4 fav)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

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Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.15 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV

Recent Old Newton Cup Winners

2016 – Tawdeea (8/1)
2015 – Notarised (12/1)
2014 – De Rigueur (9/1)
2013 – Star Lahib (8/1)
2012 – Number Theory (8/1)
2011 – Halicarnassus (14/1)
2010 – Dangerous Midge (17/2)
2009 – Red Merlin (15/2 jfav)
2008 – Mad Rush (5/2 fav)
2007 – Dansili Dancer (15/2)
2006 – Consular (16/1)
2005 – Zeitgeist (9/1)
2004 – Alkaased (7/1)
2003 – Collier Hill (8/1)
2002 – Sun Bird (40/1)

Key Old Newton Cup Betting Trends

13/15 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
13/15 – Aged 5 or younger
13/15 – Won no more than 5 times before
12/15 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/15 – Aged 4 years-old
10/15 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
9/15 – Had won at least 3 times before
9/15 – Raced within the last 7 days
9/15 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/15 – Carried 8-10 or less
8/15 – Irish or USA bred
7/15 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
6/15 – Had won a race at Haydock before
4/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/15 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/1

 

 

 

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