Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 8th Oct 2016

Sat TV Trends: 8th Oct 2016 - More LIVE C4 action this Saturday for day two of the Newmarket Cesarewitch Meeting. Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Betfred Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn & Dewhurst Stakes.

The C4 cameras are also at York to take in four races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.  As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

 

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Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

 

2.20 - Dubai Business Internships´ Fund Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

Just 2 previous runnings
Trainer Karl Burke won the race in 2014
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 23% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke has a 20% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 1 from 41 (2%) with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Bell is just 2 from 38 (5%) with his 2 year-olds at the track
Jockey Jamie Spencer is only 1 from 49 (2%) riding 2 year-olds at the track

 

2.55 - Dubai 100 Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m CH4

11/11 – Had won over at least 7f before
11/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/11 – Had raced at least twice before
9/11 – Placed favourites
8/11 – Foaled in Feb or March
8/11 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/11 – Won last time out
8/11 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Winning favourites
1/11 – Irish-trained winners

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

 

3.30 - Dubai Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

13/14 – Raced at least 3 times that season
13/14 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
12/14 – Placed in their last race
11/14 – Won over 7f previously
10/14 – Favourites placed
9/14 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (5) last time out
9/14 – Won at least 3 times previously
9/14 – Won their last race
9/14 – Won a Group race previously
8/14 – Foaled in either  Feb or March
8/14 – Won by an Irish-based stable
6/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/14 – Favourites that won
5/14 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/14 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
5/14 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/14 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
4/14 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
2/14 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
0/14 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 8 of the last 10 runnings

 

4.10 – Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f CH4

13/14 – Aged 4 or older
12/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/14 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
11/14 – Had run within the last 2 months
11/14 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/14 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
10/14 – Finished 4th or better last time out
10/14 – Aged 5 or older
9/14 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
9/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Had run at the track before
8/14 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
8/14 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
7/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
7/14 – The first three home returned a double-figure price
7/14 – Won by a NH trainer
3/14 – Winning mares
3/14 – Winners from stall 1
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 25/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1993

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

 

2.35 - Download The Coral App Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y CH4

Just three previous running
Trainer Luca Cumani won the race in 2013
Trainer Charlie Appleby won the race in 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2015
Chancery won the race in 2015
2 of the last 3 winners were 3 year-olds
Sir Michael Stoute has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds here
Richard Fahey is just 7 from 130 (5%) with his 3 year-olds here
Ed Dunlop is just 1 from 27 (5%) with his 4+year-olds here
No winning favourite yet

 

3.10 – coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

13/13– Had raced within the last month
12/13 – Foaled in March or later
12/13 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
11/13 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
10/13 – Had 4 or more runs that season
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/13 – Had never raced at York before
8/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Unplaced last time out
6/13 – Ran at either Redcar (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Winners from stall 2
3/13 – Filly winners
3/13 – Placed horses from stall 1
2/13 – Trained by Tim Easterby


3.45 – Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

13/13 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
13/13 – Had won at least 3 races before
12/13 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
12/13 – Had run at York before
12/13 – Had won a race over 6f before
9/13 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/13 – Aged 5 or younger
8/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/13 – Rated between 92 and 98
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
7/13 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/13 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/13 – Filly or mare winners

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 21 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Check Em Tuesday ran well last time out but this looks quite competitive with the favourite (Ice Alert) winning very easily a week ago. We think he will be difficult to beat, but if our filly handles this surface (she is trying it for the first time) then she would have a small each way chance at a decent price."
Mark Loughnane

04/10/16 1st 8/1

 

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