Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 9th Dec 2017

Another massive Saturday of NH jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Sandown and Aintree, with the Tingle Creek Chase and Becher Chase the feature contests - As always, we’ve got all the big-race trends and stats for all the LIVE races.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)


1.45 – randoxhealth.com Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
13/14 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
12/14 – Won last time out
12/14 – French (8) or Irish (4) bred
11/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (2 winners)
9/14 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
9/14 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
7/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/14 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1

2.20 - Jumeirah Hotels And Resorts December Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f216y ITV4

13/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
12/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/14 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
11/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
10/14 – Carried 10-13 or less
9/14 – Rated between 116-128
8/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 13/2

2.55 – Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Aged 9 or younger
13/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/15 – Had won a Grade One chase before
12/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
12/15 – Officially rated 165 or higher
11/15 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
10/15 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
10/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/15 – French bred
11/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
9/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
8/15 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
5/15 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
4/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/15 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
1/15 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 5/2

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Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

3.30 – Betfair London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y ITV4

13/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/13 – Aged 7 or older
12/13 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
12/13 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
11/13 – Rated 126 or higher
11/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Aged 8 or older
9/13 – Unplaced favourites
9/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/13 – Irish bred
8/13 – Carried 11-0 or more
7/13 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
4/13 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Towcester (2) last time out
4/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/13 – Trained by Tom George
2/13 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 13/2

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.30 – Randox Health Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4

12/15 – Carried 10-12 or less
12/15 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
11/15 – Aged 9 or older
11/15 – Officially rated between 123-138
11/15 – Irish bred winners
11/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/15 – Had no more than 1 start that season
10/15 – Had raced at Aintree before
10/15 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/15 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
9/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/15 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
6/15 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
6/15 – Placed favourites
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Irish-trained winners
3/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
2/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
0/15 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 5 times since 1993

2.05 – Download The App At 188Bet Fillies’ Juvenile Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 (3Yyo) 2m1f ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
5/5 – Won between 0-1 times over hurdles
4/5 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/5 – Winning distance 8 or more lengths
4/5 – Winning favourites
4/5 – Carried 10-12 in weight
2/5 – Trained by Alan King
2/5 – Irish-trained winners
2/5 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 2/1

2.35 – 188bet.co.uk Many Clouds Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m1f ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/6 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
5/6 – Won no more than 3 times over fences
5/6 – Aged 8 or younger
5/6 – Had raced over fences at Aintree before
4/6 – Ran at Aintree (2) or Wetherby (2) last time out
3/6 – Winning favourites
3/6 – Having their seasonal reappearance
1/6 – Irish-trained winners
1/6 – Won last time out
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 & 2014
Nicky Henderson won the race in 2011
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 5/2

3.10 – 188bet.co.uk Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV

11/12 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
10/12 – Aged 8 or older
10/12 – Rated 124 or more
9/12 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Had run at Aintree before (4 over the GN style fences)
more
8/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
7/12 – Carried 10-12 or more
6/12 – Returned a double-figure price
5/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/12 – Won last time out
1/12 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (5th)
9 of the last 11 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/1

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