Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 9th Jan 2016

Another busy Saturday ahead with the C4 cameras heading to Kempton and Chepstow – as always we’ve got all the LIVE races covered.

The Lanzarote Hurdle at Kempton Park, plus the rescheduled Welsh National from Chepstow are the main races this Saturday, so an ultra-busy day ahead – as always we’ve got all the LIVE C4 races covered for you from a trends angle.......

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Kempton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/C4)

2.00 – williamhill.com Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m4f110y CH4

2 previous runnings
Alan King won the race in 2015
Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014
2/2 – Favourites
2/2 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
Nicky Henderson has a 31% (+£70) record with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 22% record with his chasers at the track
Olvier Sherwood is just 2 from 27 with his chasers at the track

2.35 – William Hill Lanzarote Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f CH4

14/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
13/14 – Aged 7 or younger
13/14 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/14 – Had never won a hurdles race over this trip or longer before
11/14 – Had won exactly 2 times over hurdles before
11/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Winning distance 2 ¼ lengths or less
9/14 – Irish (5) or French (4) bred
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/14 – Carried 10-11 or less
9/14 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/14 – Aged 6 years-old
8/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Had run at Kempton before (4 won)
4/14-  Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by Nick Williams
Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
Since 1980 (34 runnings) 30 winners have been aged 7 or younger
Note: the 2006 running was a dead heat between Rayshan & Buck Whaley and run at Carlisle

3.10 - William Hill - Bet On The Move Handicap Chase Cl2 3m CH4

Just two previous runnings
Philip Hobbs won the race 12 months ago
No winning favourite et
Nicky Henderson has a 35% record with this chasers at the track
Alan King is just 2 from 40 with his chasers at the track
Colin Tizzard is just 2 from 31 with his chasers at the track
Paul Webber has a 26% record with his chasers at the track

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3.45 - William Hill - Home of Betting Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m CH4

8/8 – Had won over at least 2 hurdles before
8/8 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
7/8 – Aged 6 or older
7/8 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
6/8 – Aged 6 years-old
6/8 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
6/8 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Finished 4th or better last time out
3/8 – Irish bred
3/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Returned a double-figure price
1/8 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/1

Chepstow Horse Racing Betting Trends (ATR/C4)

1.45 - Coral Welsh Grand National (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y CH4

13/13 – Aged 9 or younger
13/13 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
13/13 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
13/13 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
12/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/13 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
11/13 – Aged 8 or younger
10/13 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
9/13 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
8/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
7/13 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
7/13 – Irish bred
6/13 – Unplaced favourites
5/13 – French bred
5/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Had run in the Welsh National before
4/13 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
2/13 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 10.6/1

2.20 – coral.co.uk Future Champions Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m11y CH4

11/11 – Had won over at least 2m hurdles before
11/11 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
11/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Won between 1-2 times in the past
10/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/11 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
7/11 – French bred
6/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Ran at Auteuil last time out
3/11 – Ran at Newbury last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 5/1

 

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