Sat TV Trends: 9th May 2015

The C4 cameras are at Haydock, Ascot and Lingfield this Saturday and as always we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle.

Haydock (C4/RUK)


1.45 - Pertemps Network Long Distance Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m CH4

9/10 – Won at least twice over hurdles previously
9/10 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Aged 8 or younger
8/10 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
8/10 – Rated 130+
7/10 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
6/10 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
5/10 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/10 – Returned a double-figure price
5/10 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/10 – Raced at the track before (1 won) (hurdles)
4/10 – Won their last race
4/10 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/10 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/10 – Ridden by Jamie Moore
1/10 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11.5/1

3.25 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Swinton Hurdle Race) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m CH4

12/12 – Won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
12/12 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
11/12 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
11/12 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles previously
8/12 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/12 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
8/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
5/12 – Priced at double-figure odds
4/12 – Raced at Aintree last time out
3/12 – Favourites
3/12 – Raced at Ayr last time out
3/12 – Raced at the track before (hurdles)
2/12 – Trained by Evan Williams
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/12 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1

Ascot (C4/ATR)

2.00 - Leo Bancroft Signature Haircare Handicap Cl3 1m4f CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
3/4 – Aged 4 years-old
0/4 – Favourites
Marco Botti is 7 from 35 (20%) with his older horses at the track
William Knight is 0 from 24 with his older horses at the track
David Simcock is only 1 from 41 with his older horses at the track
Michael Bell is just 1 from 30 with his older horses at the track

2.35 - Carey Group Buckhounds Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f CH4

8/9 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/9 – Placed favourites
6/9 – Won 3 or more times previously
6/9 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
5/9 – Favourites
5/9 – Ran within the last 3 weeks
4/9 – Raced at Ascot previously
4/9 – Won over 1m4f previously
4/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Trained by John Gosden
2/9 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/9 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/9 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/2

3.10 - Garrard Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m CH4

9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
9/9 – Won 2-3 times on the flat previously
8/9 – Won over a mile previously
7/9 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
7/9 – Aged 5 or younger
6/9 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
6/9 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
6/9 – Aged 4 years-old
6/9 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
6/9 – Rated between 82-87
4/9 – From the top 3 in the betting
3/9 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
2/9 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

3.45 - totepool Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

11/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/12 – Won over 7f previously
9/12 – Aged 5 or younger
9/12 – Won no more than 3 times
9/12 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
9/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
7/12 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/12 – Favourites unplaced
6/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
4/12 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/12 – Raced at Ascot before (4 winners)
3/12 – Favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield
 
Lingfield (C4/ATR)

2.20 - Betfred Mobile Oaks Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y CH4

10/11 – Won no more than once previously
9/11 – Came from stall 5 or higher
9/11 – Had no more than 3 career runs
9/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/11 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
6/11 – Priced 5/2 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Won over a mile or shorter in the past
5/11 – Ran at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
5/11 – Won their last race
5/11 – Having first run of the season
4/11 – Winners from stall 5
4/11 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
4/11 – Favourites
3/11 – Won over 1m2f previously
3/11 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
1/11 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

2.55 - betfred.com Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y CH4

12/12 – Won no more than 3 times
10/12 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Placed 4th or better last time out
9/12 – Placed Favourites
9/12 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (no winners)
7/12 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
4/12 – Raced at Newbury last time out
3/12 – Won their last race
3/12 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/12 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

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Gary Moore

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