Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 9th Nov 2019

This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Ales Chase their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster (ABANDONED) for the ultra-competitive November Handicap and also at Aintree to take in one of their contests as always we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE races.

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.30 – British EBF Gillies Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

13/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/15 – Had won at least twice before
12/15 – Had 3 or more runs that season
11/15 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
9/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
9/15 – Unplaced last time out
8/15 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
8/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/15 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
2/15 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/15 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

 

2.05 – Bombardier Golden Beer Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

14/16 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
14/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Won from stall 12 or lower
13/16 – Rated 99 or higher
13/16 – Aged 4 or older
11/16 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
9/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/16 – Had won at Doncaster before
8/16 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/16 – Ran at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Winning mare/filly
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

 

3.15 – November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

13/16 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
13/16 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
13/16 – Favourites that were unplaced
12/16 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
12/16 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
12/16 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
11/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/16 – Placed last time out
11/16 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 5 times in all)
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
1/16 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995

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Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

12/12 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Aged 7 or younger
9/12 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
8/12 – Rated between 119-129
8/12 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
8/12 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
7/12 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
7/12 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
6/12 – Had run at the track before
6/12 – Irish bred
6/12 – Aged 6 years-old
5/12 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 8)
2/12 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 6)
2/12 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

2.25 – John Romans Park ‘Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

12/12 – Had won no more than twice over fences
11/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Favourites placed
10/12 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
9/12 – Irish (5) or French (4) bred
8/12 – Aged 6 or younger
8/12 – Won last time out
7/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
9 of the last 10 winners were aged between 5-7
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/2

3.00 - Unibet Elite Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/15 – Aged 7 or younger
13/15 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
13/15 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Came from the top three in the betting
10/15 – Unplaced last time out
10/15 – Rated 150 or lower
10/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/15 – Having first run of the season
5/15 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/15 – Carried 10-6 or less
5/15 – Won with 11-10 in weight
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Trained by John Quinn
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

3.35 - Badger Beers Silver Trophy (A Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

16/16 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
14/16 – Won at least two chase races previously
14/16 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
13/16 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
13/16 –  Raced at the course previously ( won over fences)
13/16 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
13/16  – Placed in the top four in their last race
11/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Raced already that season
10/16 – Irish-bred horse
9/16 – Raced at either Sandown (3), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
9/16 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
7/16 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
7/16 – 6Priced at double-figures
7/16 – Won their latest race
6/16 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
5/16 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 5 of the last 9 years)
Present Man won the race in 2017 and 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Virgin Bet Handicap Chase Cl2 2m4f ITV

14/14 – Aged 9 or younger
14/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Had won 2 or less times over fences before
11/14 – Last raced over 6 months ago
10/14 – Aged 8 or younger
10/14 – Unplaced favourites
10/14 – Carried 10-13 or more
9/14 - Had won over 2m4f (or further) over fences before
7/14 – Rated between 119 and 130
6/14 – Had raced at Aintree before
5/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Trained by Venetia Williams
1/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

 

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

 

 

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