Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 9th Oct 2021

More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 9th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York.

Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn & Dewhurst Stakes.

Did you know? 15 of the last 19 Cesarewitch Handicap winners carried 9st 2lbs or less

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always - here at Geegeez - we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.45 – Godolphin Flying Start Zetland Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

14/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
13/14 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Won no more than twice before
12/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/14 – Had won over at least 1m before
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
9/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Came from stalls 2 or 3
6/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/14 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
Irish-trained winners have won 3 of the last 6

 

2.20 – Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

15/16 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
15/16 – Had won over at least 7f before
14/16 – Had raced at least twice before
13/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/16 – Placed favourites
13/16 – Won between 1-2 times before
12/16 – Won last time out
12/16 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Foaled in Feb or March
10/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Godolphin winners
3/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/16 – Ridden by William Buick
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
7 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 3-5
2 of the last 4 winners came from stall 9
Trainer Aidan O'Brien has NEVER won the race

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

 

2.55 - Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

19/19 – Raced at least 3 times that season
17/19 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
17/19 – Placed in their last race
14/19 – Won over 7f previously
14/19 – Favourites placed
13/19 – Won at least 3 times previously
13/19 – Won their last race
13/19 – Won a Group race previously
12/19 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (8) last time out
12/19 – Foaled in either Feb or March
11/19 – Won by an Irish-based stable
9/19 – Favourites that won
8/19 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
6/19 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/19 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/19 – Trained by Jim Bolger
6/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (6 wins in total)
5/19 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
5/19 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
2/19 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
1/19 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 11 of the last 15 runnings
3 of the last 11 winners came from stall 3
Aidan O’Brien has trained 4 of the last 6 winners

 

3.35 – Together For Racing International Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

18/19 – Aged 4 or older
15/19 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
15/19 – Had run within the last 2 months
15/19 – Carried 9-2 or less
14/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/19 – Finished 4th or better last time out
13/19 – Aged 5 or older
12/19 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
11/19 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
11/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/19 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
10/19 – Had run at the track before
10/19 – Won by a NH trainer
9/19 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/19 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
5/19 – Winning mares
4/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Winners from stall 1
3/19 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/19 – Trained by Willie Mullins (last 3 winners)
3/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/19 - Trained by Brian Meehan
2/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 21/1
Just 4 winning favourites since 1993

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.02 - Coral Beaten-By-A-Length Free Bet Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

18/18 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
17/18 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
15/18 – Foaled in March or later
15/18 – Had 4 or more runs that season
14/18 – Had never raced at York before
13/18 – Had won over 6f before
12/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Unplaced last time out
8/18 – Ran at either Redcar (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Winners from stall 2
4/18 – Filly winners
3/18 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/18 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/18 – Ridden by David Allen
The  horse from stall 6 has won 5 of the last 11 runnings

 

2.37 – Play Coral Racing-Super-Series For Free Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

Just 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Rated between 95-103
7/8 -  Returned 10/1 or shorter
7/8 – Won over at least 1m2f before
6/8  - Aged 3 years-old
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
5/8 – Carried 9-0 or more
5/8 – Unplaced last time out
4/8 – Had run at the track before
4/8 – Ridden by Franny Norton (2) or Adam Kirby (2)
4/7 – Irish bred
1/8 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 5 winners came from stall 8

 

3.15 – Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

18/18 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
18/18 – Had won at least 3 races before
17/18 – Had run at York before
17/18 – Had won a race over 6f before
16/18 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
13/18 – Aged 5 or younger
13/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/18 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
10/18 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
9/18 – Rated between 92 and 98
9/18 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/18 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
5/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/18 – Won last time out
3/18 - Trained by David O'Meara
2/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/18 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of the last 4 winners)
2/18 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/18 – Filly or mare winners
4 of the last 12 winners were ridden by a claiming apprentice
Gulliver (16/1) won the race in 2019 and 2020
Major Jumbo (12/1) won the race in 2018
Teruntum Star (10/1) won the race in 2017

 

 

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