Sat TV Trends: Ascot & York (13th July 2024)
Plenty going on again this Saturday with a monster 11 LIVE ITV races to take in.
We’ve the final day of the Newmarket July Meeting (covered separately), with the Group One July Cup , plus the Group Two Superlative Stakes and the competitive Bunbury Cup Handicap.
Then at Ascot, we’ve two more LIVE races to enjoy from the Berkshire track that include the Group Two Summer Mile, while the ITV cameras are also at York to take in four races that include the competitive John Smith’s Cup Handicap.
As always, we’ve got all the races covered with key trends and stats – use these to find the best past profile of winning horses.
Ascot Horse Racing Trends
1.45 – A1R Services Heritage Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV
9/10 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
9/10 – Had won over 5f before
8/10 – Carried 8-10 or more
8/10 – Had won between 2-6 times
7/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
7/10 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
6/10 – Came from a double-figure stall
4/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
2.20 – Anne Cowley Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV
16/16 - Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
14/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Had raced at Ascot before (3 won)
11/16 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
11/16 – Previous Group race winner
9/16 – Winning favourites (8 of the last 10 have won)
9/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/16 – Aged 4 years-old
7/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Had won a Group 1 before
11 of the last 14 winners were draw in stalls 5 or lower
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4
York Horse Racing Trends
2.00 - John Smith’s Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV
12/12 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
11/12 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/12 - Won over at least 1m before
11/12 - Won between 2-4 times before
10/12 - Carried 9st 1lb or more in weight
10/12 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/12 - Drawn in stall 7 or lower
9/12 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 - Finished 4th or better last time out
8/12 - Irish bred
7/12 - Had run at the track before (York)
6/12 - Placed favourites
4/12 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/12 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runs is 15/2
Blue For You (7/2) won the race in 2023
2.35 - John Smith's City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV
13/13 – Won over 5f before
12/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Rated between 101 and 111
9/13 – Unplaced last time out
9/13 – Won at York before
7/13 – Had only won at Handicap class before
6/13 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/13 – Won by a neck or less
4/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
Trainer Tim Easterby has won the race in 2019 & 2021
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
3.10 - John Smith's Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV
20/22 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
20/22 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
18/22 – Aged 5 or younger
14/22 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
14/22 – Came from stall 9 or higher
14/22 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
13/22 – Carried 9-3 or less
12/22 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
12/22 – Aged 4 years-old
12/22 – Officially rated between 99-105
10/22 – Had run at York before
6/22 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/22 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
3/22 – Trained by William Haggas
3/22 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/22 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 5)
2/22 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (2 of last 11)
Since 1960 just one winner older than 6
10 of the last 13 winners aged 4 or 5
8 of the last 10 winners carried 9st 3lbs or more
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 12/1
3.45 - John Smith's Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV
17/18 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
17/18 – Won from stall 10 or lower
15/18 – Aged 5 or younger
13/18 – Didn’t win their previous race
13/18 – Placed favourites
9/18 – Aged 4 years-old
9/18 – Had run at York before
7/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/18 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
6/18 – Winning favourites
Hamish (4/9 fav) won the race in 2023
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
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