Saturday Racing Tips

No clever stuff today, dear reader, just some good old fashioned tipping and - hopefully - a couple of winners to cheer home.

I'll start at Longchamp where the first day of the Arc weekend meeting is a belter. There is lots of competitive racing, and a couple of decent bets.

In the 1.15, Astrologie has a bit of wide draw, but I think she will be mowing most of these down in the straight and, at around 10/1, she looks solid each way.

In the 2.20, Paco Boy (nap) will be pretty hard to beat. He's got a 100% record in 7f race (5 out of 5), loves give in the ground and has the extremely knowledgeable Christophe Soumillon doing the steering. I'm getting stuck into this one!

Finally at Longchamp, World Hurdle runner-up Kasbah Bliss looks a lay-down certainty to make the first three. The big question is, can he upset the odds-on favourite Yeats? The latter ran a dodgy race here last season, and may have been over the top. The same comment applies this term, and Kasbah looks a knocking each way wager.

Over at Newmarket, we looked at the Cambridgeshire yesterday, but there is lots more interest.

Firstly, have you ever seen such a crap race for £400,000 in your life as the opener? I mean seriously, I don't know what the qualification rules are, but Steptoe must have considered entering his rag and bone mule for this! (I just checked, and the winner of this race will receive £90,000 MORE than the runner-up in the Epsom Derby!!!!!)

Two of the first four in the market have yet to win a race, and this is frankly a comedy affair, watchable only for the reactions of connections should their horse finish a badly-ridden second. Good luck if you're playing - I'm expecting the winner to be double digit odds...

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The 2.45 actually offers the winner a million dollars, which is a staggering prize for a 2yo race that doesn't carry black type. There are a number of potential Group race performers in here, none more so than Liberation, who absolutely mullered a decent field last time out and, if that race hasn't left its mark, he'll be very tough to beat.

Even in a field as big as this, I can't see past that one (the form of his wide margin win looks very strong), and barring the bounce (when a horse overexerts itself and suffers for a few runs afterwards), he's going to win.

In the Sun Chariot, if you want to take 6/4 about a horse that hasn't won in five starts this year, fair play. I'll be looking for a more reliable stick, and I think the one could be Nahoodh. She has excellent distance form, and a second last time out behind Lush Lashes matches any form bar that of the Darjina, the short priced favourite. Each way a pleasure, sir!

After that, the Cambridgeshire follows and then there are two more handicaps: the card descends into the punting realms of impossibility, and I wish you well, for your guess is as good as (or better than) mine.

Over at Redcar, in the big straight mile handicap, the middle is definitely the place to be, and I reckon Tim Easterby's Medici Pearl, a track and trip winner, who has prevailed in four of her last six runs, will give us a run for the Boddingtons.

The top one, Osteopathic Remedy, might also give anyone with lumbago something to cheer. He's tough, knows better than most how to win, and will have strength in the plate from the underrated Tom Eaves. Drawn 3 might not be ideal, but otherwise, he has strong claims.

In the 2YO Trophy, although generally at Redcar high are favoured in sprints, you need to be where the pace is.

Most of the pace seems to be low, and Michael Jarvis could be celebrating a big race across the card double, with Zuzu here and Yaddree at Newmarket. After all, between the two races, these two only have 56 other nags to beat!

It's seriously tough today, and the best bets are likely to be in France. Don't be put off betting on the 'foreign muck', and good luck wherever you play.

Matt

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