Saturday TV Trends

Saturday TV Trends: 12th Feb 2022

We’ve plenty more Cheltenham Festival clues on offer this weekend with cracking cards at both Newbury and Warwick. The Denman Chase, Betfair Hurdle and Betfair Game Spirit are the feature races at Newbury, while the ITV cameras also head to Warwick to take in three more races that include the Kingmaker Novices' Chase.

As always, we've got all the ITV LIVE races covered for you key trends and top tips.

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.15 - Betfair Cheltenham Roarcast Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (Gbb Race) (Class 3) (5yo+) 2m7 1/2f ITV

Just four past runnings
Paul Nicholls trained the winner in 2021
4/4 - Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
4/4 - Ran in the last 2 months
3/4 - Aged 7 or 8 years-old
3/4 - Won between 0-1 times before (fences)
3/4 - Favourites placed in the top 3
3/4 - Had run at the track before
3/4 - Had won over 3m before
1/4 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 6/1


1.50 -
Daily Rewards With Betfair Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m52y ITV

15/16 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
14/16 – Had run within the last 10 weeks
12/16 – Aged 7 or younger
12/16 – Carried 10-13 or more
11/16 – Had won over at least 2 ½ miles (hurdles) before
11/16 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
10/16 – Carried 11-0 or more
8/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/16 – Aged 7 years-old
6/16 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/16 – Had run over hurdles at Newbury before (no winners)
3/16 – French bred
3/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/16 – Raced at Haydock last time out
Polish (14/1) won the race in 2021
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

2.25 - Betfair Denman Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV

16/18 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
15/18 – Had won at least 4 times over fences (UK) before
15/18 – Rated 150+
14/18 – Placed favourites
13/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/18 – Aged 8 or younger
11/18 – Winners that went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (4 winners)
11/18 – Had won over fences at Newbury before
10/18 – Raced at either Cheltenham or Kempton last time out
8/18 – Won last time out
8/18 – Winning favourites
8/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (10 wins in total)
7/18 – Irish bred
6/18 – French bred
6/18 – Winning distance – ¾ length or less
4/18 – Winners that went onto win the Gold Cup (Coneygree, Denman, Kauto Star & Native River)
4/18 – Returned a double-figure price
3/18 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
7 of the last 15 winners were aged 7 years-old
The average SP in the last 15 runnings is 7/2

 

3.00 – Betfair Exchange Game Spirit Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m92y ITV

16/16 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Placed favourites
13/16 – Aged 8 or younger
13/16 – Winners went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (3 winners)
12/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
11/16 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
10/16 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
10/16 – Winning favourites
9/16 – Had raced at Newbury (fences) before (5 winners)
8/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – French bred
6/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/16 – Ran at Sandown last time out
5/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Champion Chase
2/16 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Arkle Chase
Sceau Royal (3/1 fav) won the race in 2021

Note: The 2019 running was staged at Ascot

 

3.35 – Betfair Hurdle (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV

19/19 – Carried 11-8 or less in weight
18/19 – Aged 7 or younger
17/19 – Rated 130 or higher
16/19 – Had raced within the last 9 weeks
16/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
15/19 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before
15/19 – Came from the first 7 in the betting
15/19 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/19 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
13/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
10/19 – Came from the top 5 in the betting
9/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/19 – Irish bred
8/19 – Won last time out
8/19 – Aged 5 years-old (including 8 of last 15)
7/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (has won the race 5 times in all)
3/19 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/19 - Trained by Jonjo O’Neill (2 of the last 12)
3/19 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (3 of the last 8)
2/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 10)
2/19  - Raced at Leopardstown last time out
2/19 – Owned by JP McManus
1/19 – Went onto win the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Spirit Leader 2003)
24 of the last 25 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 14/1

 

WARWICK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.35 – Virgin Bet Warwick Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV

Just 7 previous running
7/7 – Aged 6 or 7 years old
7/7 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
6/7 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
5/7 – Didn’t win last time out
5/7 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
4/7 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
3/7 – Rated between 141 and 149
3/7 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
3/7 – Winning favourites
3/7 – Irish bred
3/7 – Had run at Warwick before
Trainer Willie Mullins has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
Molly Ollys Wishes (7/2) won the race in 2021
Indefatigable (7/2 cfav) won the race in 2020

 

2.05 – Virgin Bet Kingmaker Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

10/10 – Aged 7 or younger
9/10 – Won over 2m fences before
8/10 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
8/10 – Had won no more than twice (fences) in the UK
8/10 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Rated between 137-147
6/10 – Aged 5 or 7 years-old
6/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Unplaced favs
4 of the last 6 winners have been 6 year-olds
Allmankind (4/7 fav) won the race in 2021

Note: 2009 renewal was at Sandown
 

3.15 – Virgin Bet Warwick Castle Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4f ITV

11/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Irish (5) or French (6) bred
10/11 – Aged 9 or younger
9/11 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
9/11 – Favourites that finished in the top three
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
8/11 – Unplaced in their last race
8/11 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
6/11 – Carried 11-0 or more
4/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Two For Gold (7/2 jfav) won the race in 2021

 

 

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