Saturday TV Trends: 19th Sept 2015

The Ayr Gold Cup takes centre stage this Saturday, while the C4 cameras are also at Newbury for LIVE races – As always, we’ve got all the key TV race trends and stats…….

Find those TV winners!

AYR RACING STATS AND TRENDS (C4/RUK)

2.00 – William Hill Firth of Clyde Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 6f CH4

12/13 – Previous winners over 6f
11/13 – Finished 4th or better last time out
11/13 – Winning distance 1 length or further
11/13 – Had never raced at Ayr before
11/13 – Had won once or twice before
10/13 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
10/13 – Had 3 or more runs that season
9/13 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
8/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Bryan Smart

2.35 – William Hill Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

12/13 – Carried 8-11 or more
11/13 – Aged 5 or younger
11/13 – Previous winners over 6f
11/13 – Winning distance 1 length or less
10/13 – Had raced at Ayr before (5 won)
10/13 - Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
10/13 – Had 5 or more runs that season
9/13 – Finished 5th or better last time out
9/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/13 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
7/13 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Winning Favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Trained by David Nicholls
2/13 – Drawn in stall 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have best record
0/13 – Filly or mare winners

3.10 - William Hill Doonside Cup (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f CH4

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12/12 – Had won over 1m2f before
11/12 – Aged 5 or younger
11/12 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/12 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Won at least twice before
9/12 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
8/12 – Won at Listed or better class before
8/12 – Rated 109 or higher
7/12 – Placed favourites
4/12 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/12 – Won by Saeed bin Suroor
4/12 – Winners from stall 2
3/12 – Won by a filly or mare
3/12 – Ran at York last time out
2/12 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/12 – Won last time out

3.45 – William Hill Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

13/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/13 – Failed to win their last race
11/13 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
10/13 – Had 7 or runs that season
10/13 – Had won over 6f before
9/13 – Unplaced favourites
9/13 – Rated 90-100
9/13 – Came from a double-figure stall
8/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/13 – Carried 9-2 or more
8/13 – Had raced at Ayr before
7/13 – Ran at either Doncaster (3), Goodwood (2) or Haydock (2) last time out
6/13 – Winning distance 1 length or less
4/13 – Trained by David Nicholls (won the race 6 times in all)
3/13 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/13 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
0/13– Winning favourites (1 winning fav since 1980)
0/13 – Filly or mare winners
Since 1980 just five winners aged 6 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronsiea in 1930/31
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 17/1

NEWBURY RAXING STATS AND TRENDS (C4/RUK)


1.45 –Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup (Registered As The Arc Trial) (Group 3) Cl1 1m3f5y CH4

13/13 – Won over 1m2f (or further) previously
12/13 – Priced 9/1 or less
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/13 – Had 4 or more career wins
10/13 – Aged 5 or younger
9/13 – Had won at Listed or better class previously
8/13 – Favourites placed
8/13 – Raced 5 or more times that season
8/13 – Raced at Newbury before
6/13 – Won their last race
7/13 – Had won a Group race before
4/13 – Favourites that won
3/13 – Race at York last time

2.15 –Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y CH4

10/13 – Won from draw 5 or lower
11/13 – Raced 3 or more times
11/13 – Won over 6f previously
10/13 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
9/13 – Foaled in March or later
9/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Won exactly two races before
6/13 – Won by an April foal
6/13 – Favourites (or joint) to win
5/13 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
4/13 – Won their previous race
3/13 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
2/13 – Trained by Richard Hannon
0/13 – Filly winners

2.50 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 1m2f6y CH4

11/13 – Won from stall 7 or higher
11/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/13 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/13 – Officially rated between 89 and 94
9/13 – Won at least twice previously
8/13 – Won over 1m2f previously
8/13 – Won from a double-figure draw
8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/13 – Raced 5 or more times that season
7/13 – Won by a 4 year-old
7/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
6/13 – Returned a double-figure price
5/13 – Had raced at Newbury before (2 won)
4/13 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/13 – Won their last race
2/13 – Winning favourites (2 joint)

 

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2 replies
  1. Tony says:

    Must admit have only just started looking at the trends for the past few Saturday’s as a new and different angle and landed a nice little touch today at Newbury 1.45.Had Sky Hunter and The Corsican both each way singles and a reverse forecast,did also back Chiringuita Ayr 2.00 and Exosphere Ayr 3.10 using the trends and have made a very nice profit on the day.

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