Saturday TV Trends: 1st Feb 2025

Sandown, Musselburgh provide the LIVE ITV action this Saturday on the UK front, while there is top action at the Dublin Racing Festival at Leopardstown this weekend too.

At Sandown, we’ve five LIVE ITV races that include the Grade One Scilly Isles Novices’ Chase (2:20), while there are an additional three races north of the border at Musselburgh to take in.

These includes the Scottish County Hurdle (2:17pm) - a race the Paul Nicholls-trained Afadil won last year and is back for more.

While at Leopardstown, the Irish Gold Cup is their main race today.

As always, here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the races covered from a trends angle - on Saturday 1st February 2025.

Sandown Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.25 – Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m4f ITV

9/9 – Carried 11st or more
9/9 – Won between 0-1 times before
9/9 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
9/9 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Carried 11st 4lbs or more
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Placed favourites
8/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/9 – Irish bred
3/9 – Winning favourite
2/9 – Had run at the track before
2/9 – Ridden by James Bowen (2 of the last 3)
2/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

2.00 – Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f119y ITV

18/18 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
18/18 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
15/18 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
15/18 – Aged 9 or younger
14/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
12/18 – Had run over fences at Sandown before (4 won)
10/18 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
9/18 – Winners that went to race in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase
7/18 – Raced at Sandown last time out
7/18 – French bred
6/18 – Came from outside the top 4 in the betting
5/18 – Aged 7 years-old
4/18 – Had an official rating of exactly 125
4/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Won last time out
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of last 6)
3/18 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (3 of last 6)
3/18 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/18 – Trained by Kerry Lee (2 of the last 8)
The last 11 winners carried 10-12 or more
9 of the last 11 winners carried 11-2 or more
Owner Johnny de la Hey has won 3 of the last 6

2.35 – Virgin Bet Scilly Isles Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

21/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
20/21 – Won no more than 3 times over fences before
19/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
19/21 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
19/21 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
18/21 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Aged 7 or younger
18/21 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
16/21 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (2 winners, Defi Du Seuil, JLT Novices’ Chase, L’Homme Presse, Brown Advisory)
15/21 – Placed favourites
14/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
13/21 – French bred
12/21 – Winning favourites
8/21 – Aged 7 years-old
7/21 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
7/21 – Irish bred
6/21 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 5 in the Brown Advisory Chase (1 winner, L’Homme Presse)
5/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (6 in total)
4/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/21– Had run over fences at Sandown before
Owner Simon Munir and Isaac Souede have won 4 of the last 10

3.07 Virgin Bet Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m7 1/2f ITV

9/9 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/9 - Won between 2-4 times
8/9 - Aged 8 or younger
7/9 - Didn’t win last time out
7/9 - Returned between 5/1 and 10/1 in the betting
7/9 - Rated between 129-134
6/9 - Irish bred
6/9 - Carried 10-10 or less in weight
6/9 - Unplaced favourites
4/9 - Ran at Kempton last time out
1/9 - Winning favourites
Trainer Venetia Williams has won 2 of the last 3 runnings

3.42 – Virgin Bet Masters Handicap Chase Cl2 3m110y ITV

19/21 – Carried 11-6 or less
19/21 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
18/21 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/21 – Aged 9 or younger
16/21 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before
16/21 – Rated 139 or lower
13/21 – Irish-bred
12/21 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
11/21 – Placed last time out
10/21 – Had raced at Sandown before (5 won)
10/21 – Favourites placed in the top 4
7/21 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/21 – Raced at either Sandown (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – French-bred
3/21 – Winners that went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
2/21 – Trained by Lucy Wadham (2 of last 11)
2/21 – Trained by Venetia Williams (2 of last 11)
Trained by Philip Hobbs (2 of the last 5)

Musselburgh Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.42 – bet365 Scottish Triumph Hurdle (A Juvenile Hurdle) (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo) 1m 7 1/2f ITV

10/10 – Top 4 finish last time out
10/10 – Favs top 3 finish
10/10 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Top 2 finish last time out
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times (hurdles)
8/10 – Winning fav (1 joint)
7/10  Had won over at least 2m (hurdles)
5/10 – Won at odds-on in the betting
4/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 of the last 8)
3/10 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (3 of the last 5)
3/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

2.17 - bet365 Scottish County Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f124y ITV

16/17 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Had won over this trip before (hurdles)
12/17 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
12/17 – Aged 6 years-old
12/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/17 – Former flat horses
10/17 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/17 – Carried 11-0 or less
9/17 – Rated between 120-130
4/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of the last 7)
2/17 - Trained by Donald McCain (2 of the last 6)
5 of the last 8 winners were ridding by a claiming jockey
Afadil (10/3) won the race in 2024

2:50 - bet365 Scottish Champion Chase (For The Bowes-Lyon Trophy) Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4f 1/2f

Just one previous running
Corrigeen Rock (11/2) won the race in 2024
Trainer Lucinda Russell won the race in 2024
Trainer Donald McCain has a 23% strike-rate with his chasers at the track

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