Saturday TV Trends: 20th Dec 2014

It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the C4 cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.
So to help you narrow down the fields Andy Newton returns with all the big-race trends, plus key jockey and trainer stats ahead of each race.

 

ASCOT (ATR/C4)

1.50 – BGC Partners Handicap Chase Cl3 2m1f CH4

6/6 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
5/6 – Aged 7 or older
5/6 – Officially Rated between 130-137
5/6 – Won at least twice over fences previously
5/6 – Won a chase race over 2m1f previously
4/6 – French bred
4/6 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/6 – Won their last race
2/6 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/6 – Trained by Venetia Williams
1/6 – Favourites
Lancetto won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 8/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Dan Skelton is 2 from 5 with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 23% with his chasers at the track
Evan Williams is just 2 from 22 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Sean Bowen is 1-from-1 riding chasers at the track

2.25 – JLT Long Walk Hurdle (£25K Field Size Bonus) Grade 1 Cl1 3m1f CH4

12/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/12 – Ran in that season’s World Hurdle later that season (4 won, 4 runners-up, 3 unplaced)
11/12 – Finished in the top three last time out
11/12 – French-bred horse
10/12 – Aged 8 or younger
10/12 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
10/12 – Placed Favourites
9/12 – Won at least 5 times over hurdles before
8/12 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
8/12 – Ran at Newbury last time out
7/12 – Winning favourites
6/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/12 – Ridden by jockey AP McCoy
2/12 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 12 renewals is 9/2
Note:
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004  running –Windsor

Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his hurdlers at the track
Alan King has a +£48 level stakes profit with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Wayne Hutchinson has a 25% record riding at the track
Sam Twiston-Davies is 0-from-28 riding over hurdles at the track

3.00 – Mappin & Webb Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m CH4

9/9 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Won by a French bred horse
7/9 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
7/9 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
6/9 – Raced at Ascot previously
6/9 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
6/9 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/9 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
5/9 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
5/9 – Favourites placed
4/9 – Aged 7 years-old
4/9 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
3/9 – Priced at double-figure price in the betting
2/9 – Trained by Henry Daly
2/9 – Favourite (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 7 renewals is 13/1
Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Dan Skelton is 2 from 5 with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 23% with his chasers at the track
Evan Williams is just 2 from 22 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Barry Geraghty has a 32% record riding over fences at the track
Jockey Sean Bowen is 1-from-1 riding chasers at the track

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3.30 – The Ladbroke (A Handicap Hurdle) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m CH4

10/10 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
10/10 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) previously
10/10 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
8/10 – Ran within the last 2 months
8/10 – Unplaced favourites
7/10 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
6/10 – Returned 12/1 or bigger in the betting
6/10 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
5/10 – Won their last race
5/10– Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
4/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/10 – Trained by the Pipe stable
1/10 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 13.4/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Philip Hobbs has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Harry Fry has an 80% record (4 from 5) with his hurdlers at the track
Willie Mullins is 2 from 4 with his hurdlers at the track
Sam Twiston-Davies is 0-from-28 riding over hurdles at the track

 

HAYDOCK (RUK/C4)

2.05 – Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase (Sponsored By Swift Financial Solutions) Cl2 3m CH4

7/7 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
7/7 – Failed to win their last race
7/7 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
6/7 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
6/7 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
6/7 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Favourites placed
5/7 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
4/7 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
3/7 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
2/7 – French bred
2/7 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/7 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/7 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (both unplaced)
The average winning SP in the last 7 renewals is 13/2

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Sue Smith has a +£37 level stakes profit with her chasers at the track
Venetia Williams is just 3 from 40 with her chasers at the track
Jockey Aidan Coleman is just 1 from 24 riding over fences at the track

2.40 – Grech Family Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f CH4

10/10 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
9/10 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
7/10 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/10 – Irish (4) or French (3) bred
7/10 – Ran at Haydock before
6/10 – Placed third last time out
4/10 – Ran at Haydock last time out
4/10 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 6/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Don McCain has a 24% record with his hurdlers at the track
Evan Williams has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Jennie Candlish is just 1 from 24 with her hurdlers at the track
Jonjo O’Neill is just 2 from 36 with his hurdlers at the track
Note: All jockey and trainer stats correct as 18th Dec 14

 
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