Saturday TV Trends

Saturday TV Trends: 22nd Jan 2022

It’s off to Haydock, Ascot and Taunton this Saturday for the LIVE ITV horse racing action.

At Ascot, the Grade One Clarence House Chase (3.35) is their feature contest a race the Kim Bailey-trained First Flow won 12 months ago in 2021.

While this year (2022) the Clarence House Chase looks set up to be one of the races of the NH season so far  when the Nicky Henderson-trained Shishkin and the Willie Mullins-trained Energumene put their unbeaten chase records on the line in a ‘must-see’ contest.

Then at Haydock, the Peter Marsh Chase (2.35) is their showcase race – a prize that trainer Sue Smith has won five times in the last 18 years.

Finally, we’ve also one race at Taunton - the Portman Cup - a prize the popular Paul Nicholls-trained Yala Enki has won for the last two seasons and is back for more!

So, like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the big races covered from a trends and stats angle – just these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles based on past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)


1.45 –
SBK Holloway´s Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV4

12/14 – Aged 7 or younger
11/14 – Priced 5/1 or bigger in the betting
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/14 – Officially rated 139 or higher
10/14 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
10/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/14 – Ran within in the last 4 weeks
8/14 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Went onto race in that season’s Coral Cup (best finish 2nd and 3rd )
7/14 – Won their last race
6/14 – French bred
6/14 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles in the UK previously
6/14 – Aged 6 years-old
6/14 – Had raced at Ascot previously
3/14 – Trained by David Pipe
3/14 – Raced at Cheltenham in their last race
2/14 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of the last 4)
2/14 – Later raced in that season’s World Hurdle (best finish 3rd)
2/14 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/14 – Favourites (1 co)
Craigneiche (14/1) won the race in 2021
Thomas Darby (8/1) won the race in 2020
Ballymoy (4/1) won the race in 2019
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Haydock

 

2.20 – SBK Mares´ Hurdle (Registered As The Warfield Mares´ Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

12/12 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
11/12 – Officially Rated 133 or higher
11/12 – From the top 4 in the betting
11/12 – Won over at least 2m5f (hurdles) previously
9/12 – Later ran in that season’s Mares’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
9/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
8/12 – Ran at either Haydock (4) or Newbury (4) in their last race
8/12 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
8/12 – Favourites placed
7/12 – Won their last race
7/12 – Winning Favourites
5/12 – Raced at Ascot previously
4/12 – French bred
3/12 – Aged 6 years-old
2/12 – Trained by Harry Fry
2/12 - Later finished second in the Mares’ Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
1/12 – Won the Mares’ Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) – Vroum Vroum Mag (2016)
Trainer Harry Fry won 2 of the last 7 runnings
Roksana (1st 8/15 fav) won the race in 2021
Magic Light won the race in 2019 and 2020

 

2.55 – bet365 Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV4

14/15 – Won between 1-3 times over fences in the UK previously
13/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
12/15 – Either French (5) or Irish (7) bred
12/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
12/15 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
12/15 – Officially Rated 130 or higher
11/15 – Aged 8 or younger
10/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/15 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
8/15 – From the top 3 in the betting
8/15 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
6/15 – Winning distance  - 6 lengths or further
5/15 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/15 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2) or Chepstow (2) last time out
4/15 – Won their last race
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of last 7 runnings)
2/15 – Trained by Richard Rowe
2/15 – Winning Favourites
Dashel Drasher (6/1) won the race in 2021
Domaine De L’Isle (5/1) won the race in 2020

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Uttoxeter

 

3.35 – SBK Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

18/18 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
18/18 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
17/18 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
17/18 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
16/18 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
16/18 – Favourites placed
15/18 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
13/18 – Won by a French-bred horse
13/18 – Won their last race
12/18 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (4 winners)
12/18 – Raced at Sandown or Wetherby last time out
10/18 – Favourites that won
10/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/18 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
7/18 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/18 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
4/18 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, 2013 -Sprinter Sacre, 2014 - Sire de Grugy, 2015 - Dodging Bullets)
4/18 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
3/18 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 6)
3/18 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 5 times in all)
2/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
Since 1989 there have only been 3 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (29 runnings) there have been 12 winners aged 8 years-old

The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 7/2

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.25 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/15 – Aged 7 or younger
14/15 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
14/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Won their last race
8/15 – Aged 5 years-old
7/15 – Winning Favourites
6/15 – Had raced at Haydock previously
5/15 – French bred
4/15 -  Ran at Haydock last time out
3/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Went onto win the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
2/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/15– Trained by Venetia Williams
2/15 – Trained by Donald McCain Jnr
Faivoir (7/1) won the race in 2021

Note: 2004 Renewal was staged at Wetherby

2.00 – New One Unibet (Registered as the Champion Hurdle Trial) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/16 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
16/16 – Favourites placed in the top 3
14/16 -  From the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Finished in the top three in their last race
12/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle
12/16 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
12/16 – Officially Rated 150 or higher
12/16 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
11/16 – Either French (3) or Irish (8) bred
11/16 – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (7) last time out
9/16 – Aged 7 or younger
8/16 – Winning Favourites
4/16 – Placed in the top 4 in that season’s Champion Hurdle (no winners)
4/16 – Won their last race
1/16 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle
Navajo Pass (4/1) won this race in 2021
Ballyandy (5/2) won this race in 2020

 

 

2.35 - Peter Marsh Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV4

18/18 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
17/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
16/18 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
16/18 – Had run within the last 36 days
16/18 – Aged 8 or older
13/18 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
13/18 – Won at Haydock previously
12/18 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
12/18 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
12/18 – Favourites unplaced
11/18 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
10/18 – Irish bred
10/18 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
10/18 – Won over fences at Haydock before
9/18 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
9/18 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
9/18 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
7/18 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
7/18 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
7/18 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/18 – Raced in the Rowland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
5/18 – Trained by Sue Smith (3 of the last 6)
4/18 – Ridden by Danny Cook
3/18 – Won their last race
3/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 - Trained By Venetia Williams (3 wins in total)
2/18 – Trained by the McCain stable
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 9/1

 

Taunton Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

3.15 – BioWaveGo Portman Cup Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 3m4 1/2f ITV4

3 previous runnings
Yala Enki won the race in 2020 and 2021
2/3 - Winning favourites
Trainers Paul Nicholls (2)2 and Colin Tizzard have won the race before
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Fergus Gillard is 2-from-4 (50%) riding over fences at the track
Jockey Bryony Frost has a 31% record riding over fences at the track

 

 

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