Saturday TV Trends

Saturday TV Trends: 22nd October 2016

Bundles going on this Saturday as the C4 cameras are at Doncaster, Newbury and Cheltenham this Saturday – As always we got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle…….Can leading Irish handler Aidan O’Brien, who’s already had a cracking season, land yet another Racing Post Trophy?

 

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Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)


2.05 - Scott Dobson 30th Birthday Memorial Doncaster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/9 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/9 – Foaled in February or later
8/9 – Had won over 6f before
8/8 – Won between 1-2 times before
7/9 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
7/9 – Carried 9-1 in weight
7/9 – Won last time out
7/9 – Favourites placed in the top 3
6/9 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – March-born foals
5/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/9 – Trained by Brian Meehan
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 36% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has a 29% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 25% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 22% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 2 from 60 (3%) with his 2 year-olds at the track

 

2.40 - Sunbets.co.uk Top Price Templegate Tips Handicap Cl2 5f CH4

12/12 – Ran 5 or more times that season
11/12 – Had won over 5f before
11/12 – Aged 5 or younger
9/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/12 – Carried 8-10 or less
8/12 – Unplaced favourites
8/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/12 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
7/12 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)
5/12 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
5/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Winners from stall 1
1/12 – Winning mare/filly
Dungannon won the race in 2013 and 2014
The average winning SP in the 9 years is 11/1

 

3.15 - Bet Through The Racing Post App Handicap Cl2 1m4f CH4

13/14 – Had 3 or more runs that season
12/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/14 – Carried 9-3 or less
10/14 – Rated between 82 and 87
10/14 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or less
10/14 – Unplaced favourites
10/14 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
9/14 – Drawn in a single-figure stall
9/14 – Aged 3 years-old
8/14 – Unplaced last time out
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price
6/14 – Returned between 9/2 and 6/1 in the betting
5/14 – Had run at Doncaster before
3/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Argus won the race 12 months ago

 

3.50 – Racing Post Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) CH4 1m

14/14 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
12/14 - Foaled in February or later
12/14 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
12/14 – Finished in the top two last time out
11/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Raced with the last month
10/14 – Winning favourites
10/14 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/14 – Had raced at least twice previously
10/14 – Won their last race
8/14 – Ran at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (5) last time out
5/14 – Won by an Irish-based yard
4/14 – Won by a Montjeu colt
4/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/14 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
1/14 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
1/14 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 7 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011 & 2012
The average SP in the last 14 runnings is 15/2

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

 

2.20 - Worthington´s OCSL Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y CH4

Your first 30 days for just £1

13/14 – Aged 5 or younger
13/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Had won at least twice before
11/14 – Had at least 4 runs that season
11/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/14 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
9/14 – Rated 107 or higher
8/14 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
8/14 – Placed horses from stall 6
6/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/14 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/14 – Won by a filly or mare
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Won last time out
0/14 – Winners from stall 1
Koora won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

 

2.50 – Bathwick Tyres Handicap Cl2 1m2f6y CH4

13/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
12/14 – Carried 9-0 or less
11/14 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
11/14 – Had at least 5 runs that season
10/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Won just 2 or 3 times before
10/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/14 – Ran at either York (4), Ascot  (2) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
4/14 – Ran at York last time out
2/14 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
2/14 – Won last time out
1/14 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)



1.50 - Randox Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f CH4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Won over at least 3m previously
9/9 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
7/9 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
7/9 – Favourites unplaced
7/9 – Rated 136 or higher
7/9 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
7/9 – First run of the season
6/9 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
6/9 – Irish bred winners
5/9 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
5/9 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
4/9 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
4/9 – Unplaced in their last race
1/9 – Winning Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6.3/1

 

3.00 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y

7 previous runnings
6/7 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
5/7 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Carried 10-12 in weight
4/7 – Irish bred winners
4/7 – Favourites placed
4/7 – Placed in their last race
3/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Won 3 times over hurdles previously
2/7 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average SP in the last 7 runnings is 4/1


3.30 – Randox Health Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f199y CH4

Only 1 previous running
Boondooma won the race 12 months ago for trainer Dr Richard Newland
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a +£18 level stakes profit with his chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is only 1 from 19 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Tom George is only 4 from 50 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Emma Lavelle is only 2 from 32 with her chasers at the track
Trainer Henry de Bromhead is only 0 from 25 with his chasers at the track


4.05 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y CH4

Only 7 previous runs
6/7 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/7 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/7 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
6/7 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
5/7 – Had run at Cheltenham before (1 winner)
5/7 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
4/7 – Won last time out
4/7 – Unplaced favourites
3/7 – Irish Bred
2/7 – Mare winners
2/7 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davis
1/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 10/1

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 21 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Candesta - Won at Beverley two runs ago and then the ground went against him at Bath when it turned soft. Back on the AW today and is a CD winner here. He should, again, be an each-way chance with conditions in his favour."
Julia Feilden

18/10/16 1st 6/1

"Sarabi - Not been herself last two runs. Back to herself in her homework. Worked well in tongue strap latest. Goes on the aw well and looks to have a fair each-way shout at a big price "
Scott Dixon

18/10/16 3rd 20/1

"Zippy - Champion apprentice Josie Gordon is back in the plate and the softer ground will help the pairs chances. Zippy has run her two best races with give in the ground and ran well on faster than ideal ground last time out at Brighton - therefore, should have every chance this afternoon in a race that lacks much depth and hopefully Zippy can shut the other runners up! "
Daniel Kubler

18/10/16 1st 9/4

"Fact Of The Matter - Won on handicap chase debut over 2m4f but got caught out on a tight track the last day at Huntingdon. Stepped up in trip this time, he looks the unexposed horse in the race and if all 8 stand their ground then looks a cracking each-way option to us."
Jamie Snowden

18/10/16 1st 9/2

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