Saturday TV Trends: 3rd Feb 2024
Sandown, Musselburgh and Wetherby provide the LIVE ITV action this Saturday.
At Sandown, we’ve five LIVE ITV races that include the Grade One Scilly Isles Novices’ Chase (2:20), while there are an additional three races north of the border at Musselburgh to take in, which includes the Scottish County Hurdle (2:50pm) - a race the Donald McCain-trained Collingham won last year and is back for more.
As always, here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the races covered from a trends angle.
Sandown Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1.25 – Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m4f ITV3
8/8 – Carried 11st or more
8/8 – Won between 0-1 times before
8/8 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
8/8 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Carried 11st 4lbs or more
7/8 – Didn’t win last time out
7/8 – Placed favourites
7/8 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/8 – Irish bred
2/8 – Had run at the track before
2/8 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 5/1
2.00 – Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f119y ITV3
17/17 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
17/17 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
14/17 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
14/17 – Aged 9 or younger
13/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/17 – Had run over fences at Sandown before (4 won)
9/17 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/17 – Winners that went to race in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase
7/17 – Raced at Sandown last time out
7/17 – French bred
6/17 – Came from outside the top 4 in the betting
5/17 – Aged 7 years-old
4/17 – Had an official rating of exactly 125
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of last 5)
3/17 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (3 of last 5)
3/17 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/17 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
2/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/17 – Trained by Kerry Lee (2 of the last 7)
2/17 – Ridden by Jamie Moore (2 of the last 7)
The last 10 winners carried 10-12 or more
8 of the last 10 winners carried 11-2 or more
Dolos won the race in 2019, 2020, 2022 and second in 2021
2.35 – Virgin Bet Scilly Isles Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV3
20/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
19/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
19/20 – Won no more than 3 times over fences before
18/20 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
18/20 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
18/20 – Aged 7 or younger
17/20 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
16/20 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (2 winners, Defi Du Seuil, JLT Novices’ Chase, L’Homme Presse, Brown Advisory)
15/20 – Placed favourites
13/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
13/20 – French bred
12/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Aged 7 years-old
7/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/20 – Irish bred
6/20 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 5 in the Brown Advisory Chase (1 winner, L’Homme Presse)
5/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/20– Had run over fences at Sandown before
4/20 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob (4 of last 9 winners)
Gerri Colombe (10/11) won the race in 2023
3.10 Virgin Bet Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m7 1/2f ITV3
8/8 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/8 - Didn’t win last time out
7/8 - Won between 2-4 times
7/8 - Returned between 5/1 and 10/1 in the betting
7/8 - Aged 8 or younger
6/8 - Irish bred
6/8 - Carried 10-10 or less in weight
5/8 - Unplaced favourites
6/8 - Rated between 129-134
4/8 - Ran at Kempton last time out
1/8 - Winning favourites
Trainer Venetia Williams has won the last two runnings
3.45 – Virgin Bet Masters Handicap Chase Cl2 3m110y ITV3
18/20 – Carried 11-6 or less
18/20 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
17/20 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
17/20 – Aged 9 or younger
15/20 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before
15/20 – Rated 139 or lower
12/20 – Irish-bred
11/20 – Placed last time out
11/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/20 – Had raced at Sandown before (5 won)
10/20 – Favourites placed in the top 4
7/20 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/20 – Raced at either Sandown (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – French-bred
3/20 – Winners that went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
2/20 – Trained by Lucy Wadham (2 of last 10)
2/20 – Trained by Venetia Williams (2 of last 10)
Trained by Philip Hobbs (2 of the last 4)
Castle Robin won the race in 2023
Wetherby Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
2.40 – William Hill Towton Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV
15/16 – Aged 8 or younger
14/16 – Had never raced over fences at Wetherby before
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/16 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
12/16 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
11/16 – Aged 7 years-old
11/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
10/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Brown Advisory Chase at Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Blaklion 2016, plus all finished 6th or better)
2/16 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
Musselburgh Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1:40 – bet365 Frodon Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (5yo+) 2m 4 1/2f ITV3
Only 3 previous runnings
Trainer L J Morgan has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
All three winners returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
All three winners aged between 6-8 years-old
Trainer Charlie Longsdon has a 40% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Lucinda Russell has a 19% strike-rate with her chasers at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% riding over fences at the track
2.15 – bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase Cl2 4m176y ITV3
Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged between 8-9 years-old
5/6 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
4/6 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/6 – Priced between 6/1 and 10/1 in the betting
1/6 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Magna Sam won the race in 2023
2.50 - bet365 Scottish County Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f124y ITV3
15/16 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Had won over this trip before (hurdles)
12/16 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
12/16 – Aged 6 years-old
11/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/16 – Former flat horses
9/16 – Favourites placed in the top 4
9/16 – Carried 11-0 or less
8/16 – Rated between 120-130
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 6)
2/16 - Trained by Donald McCain (2 of the last 5)
4 of the last 7 winners were ridding by a claiming jockey
Collingham (11/2) won the race in 2023
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