Saturday TV Trends

Find those TV winners!

The return of TV Trends!

Sat TV Trends: 13th Dec 2014

A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues, plus the C4 cameras head to Doncaster for two races also - Andy Newton’s on hand with all the big-race trends and stats and the bookie specials…..
All Cheltenham Races
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TV Race Specials
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Free bet when backing 4/1+ winner (Ladbrokes)

 

Cheltenham (C4/RUK)

2.00 – Caspian Caviar Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f CH4

12/12 – Aged 8 or younger
10/12 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
10/12 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/12 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
9/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (4 won)
9/12 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
9/12 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
8/12 – French bred
8/12 – Unplaced favourites
8/12 – Officially rated 142 or higher
6/12 – Carried 10-13 or more
4/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/12 – Ran in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
4/12 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
3/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
1/12 – Winning favourites (last winning fav 2009)
The average winning SP in the last 12 runnings is 10/1

Cheltenham 2.00
Money back if your pick is 2nd (Betbright)
Money back if you pick is 2nd OR 3rd (Skybet)
Caid du Berlais at 8/1 (sportingbet, new customers)

2.35 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m CH4

10/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
9/10 – Aged 6 or younger
9/10 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
9/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
7/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (2 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
7/10 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
7/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
6/10 – Had won at Cheltenham before
2/10 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/10 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 3/1

 

3.10 – StanJames.com International Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f CH4

12/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/12 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
12/12 – Raced over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
10/12 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
10/12 – Won over 2m1f (hurdles) previously
10/12 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
10/12 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle later that season (5 placed)
9/12 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
9/12 –  Favourites placed
9/12 – Won their latest race
9/12 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
8/12 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
8/12 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
7/12 – Rated 162 or higher
5/12 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle last time out
6/12 – Winning distance:  4+ lengths
4/12 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/12 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
2/12 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Won the Betfair Hurdle last time out
2/12 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
1/12 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that season (Rooster Booster 2002)
The New One won this race in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
The last horse to win this race back-to-back was Relkeel (1997,98,99)

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3.45 – Osborne House Relkeel Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f110y CH4

11/11 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Aged 7 or younger
10/11 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Raced at Cheltenham before
8/11 – Ran at either Ascot (4), Cheltenham (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
8/11 – Had won between 1-4 times over hurdles before in the UK
8/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (2 won)
8/11 – Ridden by either AP McCoy (3), Barry Geraghty (3) or Robert Thornton (2)
7/11 – Placed favourites
6/11 – Had won at Cheltenham before
6/11 – Won by a French-bred
6/11 – Had won a hurdles race over at least 2m4f before
7/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Trained by Alan King
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/3

 

Doncaster (C4/ATR)

2.15 – Bet365 Summit Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y CH4

Three previous runnings
3/3 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
3/3 – Carried 11-2 or more
2/3 – Had raced within the last month
2/3 – Trained by John Quinn
2/3 – Ridden by Dougie Costello
0/3 – Winning favourites
John Quinn has a 43% record at the track with his hurdlers
Nicky Henderson has a 34% record at the track with his hurdlers
Donald McCain is just 4 from 45 (9%) with his hurdlers at the track

2.50 – bet365 December Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m CH4

Only 2 previous runnings
Both runnings won by trainer Paul Nicholls
Both winners aged 6 years-old
Both winners carried 11-1
Both winners returned 9/4 or shorter in the betting
Nicky Henderson has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has 25% record with his chasers at the track

 

Follow Andy Newton Here – @NewtsDailyLays

 

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