Saturday TV Trends

Saturday TV Trends: 7th April 2018

As we gear-up towards the Aintree Grand National meeting in a few weeks the LIVE Saturday action does take a bit of a step down in quality at this time of year. However, we've still got seven races to take in LIVE on ITV4 and a bit of something for everyone with jumping from Kelso, plus AW action from Kempton.

The Listed Snowdrop Fillies' Stakes at Kempton is the weekend's feature contest - a race that has been won by a 4 year-old in 12 of the last 14 runnings.

So, as always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

Kelso Horse Racing Trends

1.50 Sue And Harvey Smith Chase (A Novices’ Chase Limited Handicap) Cl3 (5 YO+ 0-135) 2m 7 ½ f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Iain Jardine has a 30% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 21% (12 from 56) record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Rose Dobbin has a 20% (7 from 35) record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Sue Smith is just 4 from 45 (9%) record with her chasers at the track

2.25 – totescoop6 Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m ITV4

6/7 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
6/7 – Unplaced last time out
6/7 – Had raced at Kelso before
5/7 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
5/7 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
4/7 – Unplaced favourites
5/7 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
3/7 – Aged 7 years-old
3/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 13/2
Trainer Keith Dalgleish has a 54% record (7 from 13) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 22% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Donald Whillans is only 2 from 27 (7%) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Rose Dobbin is only 8 from 95 (8%) with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Sue Smith is 0 from 17 with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Susan Corbett is just 1 from 28  with her hurdlers at the track~
Trainer James Moffatt is just 1 from 32 with his hurdlers at the track

3.00 – Liz Adam Memorial Handicap Chase Cl2 3m2f ITV4

One previous running
Yala Enki (9/4) won the race in 2017
Trainer Harriet Graham has a (21%) with her chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 21% (12 from 56) record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Sue Smith is just 4 from 45 (9%) record with her chasers at the track

3.35 – Edinburgh Gin Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m2f ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
3 of the last 4 winners carried 11-7 or more in weight
Trainer Lucinda Russell has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
3 of the last 4 winners were aged 7 or 8 years-old
3 of the last 4 winners returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
The last 2 winners were aged 7 years-old
1 winning favourite in the last 4 runnings
The last three winners were placed at Haydock last time out
Trainer Tim Vaughan has a 56% (5 from 9)record with this hurdlers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 22% record with this hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 22% record with this hurdlers at the track
Trainer Alistair Whillans is just 3 from 51 with his hurdlers at the track

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Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Betfred Mobile Handicap (Class 2 (4yo+ 0-105) 5f  ITV4

One previous running
A Momentofmadness (7/4 fav) won the race in 2017
Trainer Charles Hills won the 2017 running
1 winning favourite
Last year’s winner came from stall 1
Trainer Roger Varian has a 19% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Jockey Andrea Atzeni has a +£18 level stakes profit riding older horses at the track
Trainer Derek Shaw is just 7 from 94 (7%) with his older horses at the track

 

2.40 – Betfred  ‘Supports Jack Berry House’ Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-105) ITV4

Two previous runnings
Both winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
1 winning favourite
Both winners carried 8-10 or more in weight
Both winners aged 4 or 5 years-old
Trainer James Fanshawe has a 24% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer Marco Botti has a 20% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 19% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer Derek Shaw is just 7 from 94 (7%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is 0 from 34 with his older horses at the track
Jockey Andrea Atzeni has a +£18 level stakes profit riding older horses at the track

 

3.15 - Betfred ‘Home Of Goals’ Snowdrop Fillies´ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV4

13/14 – Had won between 2-4 times before
12/14 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/14 – Won by a 4 year-old
12/14 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Had won over at least 1m before
11/14 – Last raced 4 ½ months or more ago
11/14 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
11/14 – Rated between 90-102
9/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Unplaced in their last race
6/14 – Rated 96 or lower
5/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Had run at Kempton before
3/14 – Won by trainer Marco Botti
2/14 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/14 – Won last time out
4 of the last 10 favourites have won
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 33% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer Jeremy Noseda has a 27% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer James Fanshawe has a 24% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer David Loughnane has a 23% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer Charlie Fellowes has a 21% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 19% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer Mick Channon is just 1 from 28 (4%) with his older horses at the track

 

 

 

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