Saturday TV Trends

Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 20th Nov 2021

More excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the ITV cameras heading to both tracks. The Betfair Chase is the highlight from Haydock, while the main event at Ascot is the Christy 1965 Chase – As always, here at GeeGeez, we are on hand with all the trends and stats…..

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

 

2.05 – Chanelle Pharma 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y ITV

17/18 – Aged 8 or younger
15/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
14/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/18 – Favourites placed
13/18 – Had won over this trip (fences) 2m5f or further before
12/18 – Won by a French-bred horse
12/18 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/18 – Ran at Aintree (4) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
11/18 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
10/18 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/18 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
9/18 – Won last time out
8/18 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
4/18 – Aged 5 years-old
3/18 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/18 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/18 – Won by trainer Philip Hobbs
2/18 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, RyanAir Chase 2009 & 2016)
Imperial Aura won the race in 2020
Cyrname won the race in 2019
Politologue won the race in 2018

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

 

 2.40 - Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

19/19 – Priced 7/2 or less
17/19 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
16/19 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
15/19 – Won by and Irish (12) or French (3) bred horse
14/19 – Favourites placed
12/19 – Won their latest race
12/19 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
12/19 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
11/19 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
11/19 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
10/19 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
6/19 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
6/19 – Went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle after winning this (1 winner)
5/19 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (4 of 5 finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both renewals in 2014-15
4/19 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/19 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/19 - Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 3)
2/19 – Won by the Willie Mullins stable
4 of the last 15 winners were Irish-trained
Song For Someone won the race in 2020
If The Cap Fits won the race in 2018 & 2019
Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

 

3.15 – Gerard Bertrand Hurst Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y ITV

14/15 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
14/15 – Had won over fences over this trip (or further) before
13/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/15 – Carried 11-0 or more
10/15 – Rated 142 or higher
9/15 – Had raced at Ascot before
8/15 – Ran at either Ascot (4) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
8/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Aged 6 years-old
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Trained by Gary Moore
First Flow won the race in 2020
Capeland won the race in 2019
Caid du Lin won the race in 2018

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.50 - Double Daily Rewards With Betfair Graduation Chase Cl2 (4 yo+) 2m 5 1/2f ITV

10/10 – 0-2 wins over fences
9/10 – Returned 7/2 or shorter
9/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
8/10 – Rated between 144-148
7/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/10 – 0-2 runs over fences before
5/10 – Won last time out
5/10 - Winning favourites
3/10 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/10 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
Master Tommytucker won the race in 2020

 

2.25 - Betfair Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ½f ITV

15/16– Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
14/16 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
14/16 – Carried 10-9 or more
12/16 – Rated between 132 and 143
11/16 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner, Paisley Park 2019)
10/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – French bred
6/16 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/16 – Trained by David Pipe
3/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/16 – Trained by Nick Williams
Main Fact won the race in 2020
Stoney Mountain won the race in 2019
Paisley Park won the race in 2018
Sam Spinner won the race in 2017

3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m 1 1/2f ITV

16 Previous runnings
14/16 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
13/16 – Won by and Irish (4) or French (9) bred horse
13/16 - Won a Grade One chase previously
12/16 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/16 - Placed in the top three in their last race
12/16 - Raced at Haydock previously
11/16 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
10/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Aged 8 or older
9/16 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
8/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
7/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
6/16 – Won their latest race
4/16 - Raced at Aintree last time out
The average winning price in the last 16 runnings is 5/1
No Irish-trained winner yet
8 of the last 9 winners aged 9 or younger
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
The Nigel Twiston-Davies yard has won the prize in 2010, 2017, 2018 and 2020  
The Colin Tizzard yard has won the race in 2013, 2015, 2016 and 2019

 

3.35 - My Odds Boost On Betfair Handicap Chase (Gbb Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m 1 1/2f ITV

10/10 - Aged 9 or younger
10/10 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
9/10 - Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 - Won between 1-3 times over fences
8/10 - Aged between 6-8 years-old
8/10 - Irish (6) or French (2) bred
7/10 - Carried 11-6 or more in weight
7/10 - Won a race over at least 3m before
7/10 - Had run at Haydock before
7/10 - Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 - Rated between 135 and 145 (inc)
6/10 - Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/10 - Placed favourites
4/10 - Won last time out
2/10 - Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)

 

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