Saturday TV Trends

Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 25th Nov 2023

More excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the ITV cameras heading to both tracks. The Betfair Chase is the highlight from Haydock, while the main event at Ascot is the 1965 Chase – As always, here at GeeGeez, we are on hand with all the trends and stats…..

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

1.30 – Nirvana Spa 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y ITV

17/20 – Aged 8 or younger
17/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
15/20 – Had won over this trip (fences) 2m5f or further before
14/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/20 – Favourites placed
13/20 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
13/20 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
12/20 – Won by a French-bred horse
12/20 – Ran at Aintree (4) or Cheltenham (8) last time out
11/20 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/20 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
9/20 -  Won last time out
8/20 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
4/20 – Aged 5 years-old
3/20 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/20 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/20 – Won by trainer Philip Hobbs
2/20 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, RyanAir Chase 2009 & 2016)

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

2.05 - Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

21/21 – Priced 7/2 or less
19/21 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
18/21 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
17/21 – Won by and Irish (12) or French (5) bred horse
16/21 – Favourites placed
13/21 – Won their latest race
13/21 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
13/21 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
12/21 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
11/21 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
11/21 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
8/21 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
6/21 – Went onto run in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle after winning this (1 winner)
5/21 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (4 of 5 finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both renewals in 2014-15
4/21 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/21 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/21 - Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 6)
2/21 – Won by the Willie Mullins stable
4 of the last 17 winners were Irish-trained
Goshen (6/5) won the race in 2022
Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

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3.15 – Jim Barry Hurst Park Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y ITV

16/17 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
16/17 – Had won over fences over 2m (or further) before
15/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/17 – Rated 142 or higher
10/17 – Carried 11-0 or more
10/17 – Had raced at Ascot before
9/17 – Ran at either Ascot (4) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
9/17 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
9/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
7/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Aged 6 years-old
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/17 – Ridden by Jonathan Burke (2 of the last 6)
2/17 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 5)
Boothill (2/1 jfav) won the race in 2022

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.15 – Best Odds On Betfair Exchange Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV

9/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Had won between 1-2 times before
8/11 – Irish bred
8/11 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
8/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/11 – Had won over at least 2m2f before
7/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/11 – Ridden by a conditional claiming jockey
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Evan Williams
Stainsby Girl (16/1) won the race in 2022

1.50 – Get Daily Rewards With Betfair Graduation Chase Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 5 1/2f ITV

12/12 – 0-2 wins over fences
11/12 – Returned 7/2 or shorter
11/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
9/12 – Rated between 144-149
9/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
8/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/12 – 0-2 runs over fences before
7/12 - Winning favourites
6/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
3/12 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies

2.20 - Betfair ‘Serial Winners’ Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ½f ITV

16/18– Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
15/18 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
15/18 – Carried 10-9 or more
14/18 – Rated between 132 and 144
12/18 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner, Paisley Park 2019)
12/18 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Won last time out
8/18 – French bred
6/18 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/18 – Trained by David Pipe
3/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)

3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m 1 1/2f ITV

18 Previous runnings
16/18 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
15/18 – Won by and Irish (4) or French (11) bred horse
15/18 - Won a Grade One chase previously
14/18 - Placed in the top three in their last race
13/18 - Raced at Haydock previously
13/18 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/18 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
11/18 – Favourites placed
9/18 – Aged 8 or older
9/18 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
8/18 – Won by a previous winner of the race
8/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
6/18 – Won their latest race
4/18 - Raced at Aintree last time out
The average winning price in the last 18 runnings is 5/1
Just 1 Irish-trained winner yet
10 of the last 11 winners aged 9 or younger
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
The Nigel Twiston-Davies yard has won the prize in 2010, 2017, 2018 and 2020  
The Tizzard yard has won the race in 2013, 2015, 2016 and 2019

3.35 - Betfair ‘Free Racing Multiple’ Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m 1 1/2f ITV

12/12 - Aged 9 or younger
11/12 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
11/12 - Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 - Won between 1-3 times over fences
10/12 - Aged between 6-8 years-old
10/12 - Irish (7) or French (3) bred
9/12 - Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 - Won a race over at least 3m before
8/12 - Had run at Haydock before
8/12 - Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/12 - Carried 11-6 or more in weight
7/12 - Rated between 135 and 145 (inc)
7/12 - Placed favourites
6/12 - Won last time out
3/12 - Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
Fontaine Collonges (7/2) won the race in 2022

 

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