Saturday TV Trends

Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 30th Nov 2024

Another massive horse racing Saturday ahead with the Coral Gold Cup (former Ladbrokes Trophy Chase and Hennessy Gold Cup) – plus the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle.

As always, here at GeeGeez.co.uk, we've got all the ITV TV trends to help you find the best winning profile of past winners of the main races.

Did you know? 23 of the last 25 Coral Gold Cup winners were aged 8 or younger

Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:54 – Coral ‘Daily Rewards Shaker’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

8 previous runnings
All of the last 8 winners aged between 6-8 years-old
6 of the last 8 winners carried 11st 1lb or more in weight
The last 4 winners returned 12/1 or bigger in the betting
7 of the last 8 winners aged 6 or 7
2 of the last 8 winners trained by Paul Nicholls
2 of the last 8 winners trained by Dan Skelton
2 of the last 8 winners trained by Nicky Henderson
Trainers Nigel Twiston-Davies and Philip Hobbs have won this race in the past too
2 winning favourites (both joint) in the last 7 years
4 of the last 5 winners aged 7 years-old

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2.25 - Coral Racing Club Intermediate Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) Cl1 2m69y ITV

17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
17/18 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
16/18 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
14/18 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
13/18 – Irish, French or German bred
12/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Finished in the top three last time out
9/18 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
9/18 – Unplaced favourites
9/18 – Had raced at Newbury before
9/18 – Aged 5 years-old
7/18 – Officially rated between 126-134
7/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
6/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Raced at Aintree last time out
3/18 – Won last time out
11 of the last 17 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old

3.00 – Coral Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y ITV

20/22 – Aged 8 or younger
20/22 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
19/22 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
17/22 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
15/22 – Had run at Newbury before (9 had won over fences there)
15/22 – Had a previous run that season
15/22 – Rated between 140 and 151
14/22 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
14/22 – Carried 10-13 or more
14/22 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
14/22 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
12/22 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
11/22 – Won last time out
11/22 – Ran at either Aintree (4) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
7/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 12)
2/22 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/22 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of the last 8)
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 10/1
12 of the last 19 winners carried 11st 1lb or more
Since 1968 there has only been two winners aged in double-figures (Sizing Tennessee 2018, 10 & 1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (33 runnings) there have been 16 winners (48%) aged 7 years-old

3:35 – Coral ‘Pipped-At-The-Post’ And Win Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV

20/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/22 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
13/22 – French bred
12/22 – Officially rated between 126-136
12/22 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
12/22 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
12/22 – Placed in their last race
11/22 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
9/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Unplaced favourites
6/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/22 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/22 – Trained by Venetia Williams
The Tizzard yard have won 3 of the last 8 runnings – including the last two
11 of the last 18 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3

Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

2:10 – BetMGM Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

23/23 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
20/23 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
19/ 23 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
19/23 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
18/23 – Placed favourites
18/23 – Officially rated 151 or higher
14/23 – Won their last race
13/23 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/23 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/23 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
7/23 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (7 of last 16) (8 wins in total)
6/23 – Won by an Irish bred horse
5/24 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4/23 – Won by an Irish based yard
2/23 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 10)
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 11/2

3:20 – BetMGM Rehearsal Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) Cl1 3m ITV

19/19 – Didn’t win their last race
16/19 – Irish bred
16/19 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
14/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/19 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
14/19 – Unplaced last time out
12/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
11/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/19 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
6/19 – Aged 8 years-old
5/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/19 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/19 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
3/19 – Trained by Nicky Richards
2/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Venetia Williams has won 2 of the last 7 runnings (3 in total)
9 of the last 13 winners were aged 8 or older
L'Homme Presse (9/4 fav) won the race in 2022
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow

 

 

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