Saturday TV Trends

Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 6th Nov 2021

This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Beer Handicap Chase, their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster for the ultra-competitive November Handicap and also take in two Aintree contests as always, here at GeeGeez we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE races….. 

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.25 – Virgin Bet Handicap Cl2 7f ITV4

9/11– Had run at least 6 times before that season
9/11 – Won over at least 7f before
8/11 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/11 – Had run at Doncaster before
8/11 – Won at least 3 times in their career
8/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/11 – Officially rated between 88 and 93
6/11 – Carried 8-13 or less
5/11 – Unplaced last time out
4/11 – Returned a double-figure price
3/11 – Winning favourite
2/11 – Winning mares/fillies
 

2.05 – Betfair Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

15/17 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
15/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had won over 6f before
14/17 – Won from stall 12 or lower
14/17 – Rated 99 or higher
14/17 – Aged 4 or older
12/17 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
9/17 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/17 – Had won at Doncaster before
8/17 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/17 – Ran at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
5/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Winning mare/filly
Dakota Gold (4/1) won the race in 2020
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

 

 

2.40 – Virgin Bet November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

14/17 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
14/17 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
14/17 – Favourites that were unplaced
13/17 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
13/17 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
12/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/17 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
12/17 – Placed last time out
11/17 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/17 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Won last time out
3/17 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 6 times in all)
2/17 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
1/17 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 11/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995

 

Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 - John Romans Park Homes ‘Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

14/14 – Had won no more than twice over fences
13/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Irish (6) or French (5) bred
11/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
10/14 – Aged 6 or younger
9/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 5-7

 

2.25 – Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

14/14 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Didn’t win last time out
12/14 – Aged 7 or younger
10/14 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
10/14 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
10/14 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
9/14 – Rated between 119-129
8/14 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
8/14 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
8/14 – Irish bred
8/14 – Aged 6 years-old
6/14 – Had run at the track before
5/14 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 10)
2/14 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 8)
2/14 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan

 

3.00 - 60th Badger Beer Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

18/18 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
16/18 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
16/18 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
15/18 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
15/18  – Placed in the top four in their last race
15/18 – Won at least two chase races previously
14/18 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
14/18 –  Raced at the course previously (over fences)
12/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Irish-bred horse
11/18 – Raced already that season
11/18 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
10/18 – Raced at either Sandown (4), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
8/18 – Priced at double-figures
8/18 – Won their latest race
7/18 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
7/18 – Favourites that won (1 joint, 1 Co)
7/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/18 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 5 of the last 10 years)
4/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
El Presente (11/1) won the race in 2020

 

3.35 - Unibet Elite Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/17 – Aged 7 or younger
15/17 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Came from the top three in the betting
13/17 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
12/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/17 – Unplaced last time out
10/17 – Rated 150 or lower
9/17 – Having first run of the season
5/17 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/17 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
5/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Trained by John Quinn
2/17 - Trained by Alan King
Sceau Royal won this race in 2016 and 2020

 

 

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.15 – Betway Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV

15/16 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
14/16 – Aged 8 or older
14/16 – Rated 124 or more
12/16 – Had run at Aintree before (5 over the GN style fences)
12/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/16 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
10/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Carried 10-12 or more
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price
6/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National
2/16 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
1/16 – Won last time out
Beau Bay (20/1) won the race in 2020
Hogan’s Height (16/1) won the race in 2019
12 of the last 15 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old

 

3.20 – Betway Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo) 2m4f

6 previous runnings
5/6 - Aged 9 or younger
5/6 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
3/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 – Owned by Simon Munir and Isaac Souede
2/6 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/6 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville
Summerville Boy won the race in 2020

Other Recent Posts by This Author:

Your first 30 days for just £1
0 replies

Leave a Reply

Want to join the discussion?
Feel free to contribute!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.