Saturday TV Trends

Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 8th Jan 2022

Another big day for the ITV4 horse racing cameras as they move to Wincanton and Sandown for more LIVE coverage, with the day’s feature race the Unibet Tolworth Hurdle.

Did you know? 14 of the last 17 Tolworth Hurdle winners came from the top three in the market.

Like every Saturday, here at GEEGEEZ we take you through all the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and hopefully find a few winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

 

1.50 – Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV4

15/15 – Won over at least 2m (chase) previously
14/15 – Ran within the last 2 months
14/15 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
12/15 – From the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Won between 1-4 times over fences in the UK previously
11/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/15 – Officially rated 134 or higher
11/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Never raced at Sandown
10/15 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
9/15 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/15 – Irish bred
8/15 – Winning Favourites
7/15 – Unplaced last time out
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/15 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Champion Chase, Grand Annual)
4/15 – Won their last race
4/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
Trainer Philip Hobbs has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Ibleo won the race in 2021
Locker Room Talk won the race in 2020
Darebin won the race in 2019 and was 4th in 2020

 

2.25 – Unibet Tolworth Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

16/17 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
16/17 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
16/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/17 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
15/17 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
14/17 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
14/17 – Came from the top three in the market
13/17 – Won last time out
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
11/17 – Won by an Irish bred horse
9/17 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
9/17 – Winning Favourites
5/17 – Ran at either Sandown (3) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/17 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
3/17 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/17 – Ran at Sandown before
2/17 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
2/17 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Summerville Boy, 2018 & Noland, 2006)
1/17 - Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 23 of the last 29 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 3/1

 

3.00 - Unibet Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (The Final of The 2021 Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m37y ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
Trainers Anthony Honeyball, Venetia Williams, Evan Williams, Charlie Longsdon, David Pipe and Sandy Thomson are past winners
6/6 – Ran in last 4 weeks
5/6 – 4+ wins over fences
5/6 – Unplaced last time out
5/6 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
4/6 – Winners aged 11 or 12 years-old
4/6 – Unplaced favourites
4/6 – Officially rated between 135-145
2/6 – Winning favourite (joint)
Seeyouatmidnight won the race in 2021
Jepeck won the race in 2020

 

3.35 – Unibet Casino Deposit £10 Get £40 Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV4

 

14/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
13/16 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
13/16 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
11/16 – Unplaced last time out
10/16 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/16 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
7/16 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
7/16 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
5/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Irish bred
2/16 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/16 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 8 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
Guard Your Dreams won this race in 2021

 

 

Wincanton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

 

1.30 - Stalbridge Handicap Hurdle Cl5 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m7f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 - Aged 7 or 8 years-old
2/3 - Returned a double-figure price
2/3 - Carried 11-8 or more in weight
0/3 - Winning favourites
Trainers Ben Pauling, Chris Gordon and Ron Harris have won this race before

 

2.05 - Hatherleigh Handicap Chase Cl3 (5yo+ 0-130) 1m 7 1/2f ITV4

Only 2 previous runnings
2/2 - Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
2/2 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
2/2 - Aged 9 or younger
Trainers Milton Harris and Colin Tizzard have won this race before
Trainer Sam Thomas has a 75% record at the track with his chasers
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 26% record at the track with his chasers
Trainer Tom George is just 1 from 44 (2%) with his chasers at the track

 

2.40 - Montague Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m 5 1/2f ITV4

5/5 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
4/5 - Returned 8/1 or shorter
4/5 - Aged between 5-7 years-old
4/5 - Won just once over hurdles before
3/5 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
3/5 - Unplaced favourites
3/5 - Had won over 2m4f (or further) over hurdles
2/5 - Winning favourites
2/5 - Had won a NH Flat race before

 

3.15 - Kingwell Lodge Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+ 0-150) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
8/10 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
8/10 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
8/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
7/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
5/10 – French bred
2/10 – Ran at Exeter last time out
2/10 – Trained by Tom George
2/10 - Trained by Philip Hobbs
1/10 – Winning favourite
1/10 – Won last time out

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