Stat Of The Day

SotD Update, 29th October to 3rd November 2018

Two winners at nice prices and two placers from five runners meant a nice finish to October and a good start to November for regular followers of SotD, but there'll be no resting on laurels around these parts.

Whilst we seem to have turned a corner after a disastrous summer, time is still ebbing away for this year as a whole and it's imperative we try to land a profit in November to (a) make it three good months is a row and (b) tip the odds in our favour to make 2018 a successful year overall.

It's also worth remembering not to get too carried away whilst we're enjoying these winners, just as we shrugged off the negativity we faced from some quarters during the three unprofitable months we endured earlier in the year.

I will basically be following the advice Matt has given me on more than one occasion : to just keep on keeping on. 😉

Selections & Results : 29/10/18 to 03/11/18

29/10 : Lady Alavesa @ 3/1 BOG WON at 11/4
30/10 : Miles to Milan @ 11/4 BOG 3rd at 5/2
31/10 : Yaa Mous @ 3/1 BOG 5th at 7/2
01/11 : Calvinist @ 3/1 BOG 2nd at 2/1
02/11 : Troubled Soul @ 3/1 BOG non-runner
03/11 : Mitchum Swagger @ 9/2 BOG WON at 9/4

29/10/18 to 03/11/18 :
2 winning bets from 5 = 40.00% SR
P/L: +4.50pts

October 2018 :
7 winners from 25 = 28.00% SR
P/L: +4.73pts
ROI = +18.92%

November 2018 :
1 winner from 2 = 50.00% SR
P/L: +3.50pts
ROI = +175.00%

2018 to date :
59 winners from 246 = 23.98% SR
P/L: +19.77pts
ROI = +8.04%

Overall:
582 winners from 2131 = 27.31% S.R
P/L: +506.01pts
ROI: +23.74%

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is here.

Whilst the details for 2013 are now online here.
And the figures for 2014 are now available here.

Our review of 2015 can be found right here
Whilst 2016's details are right here

And here is the full story from 2017.

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8 replies
  1. leebrian says:

    Sorry now but how do you calculate the results for the week at +4.5
    I thought you used BFSP for results and even at prices can’t see that amount

    Regards,
    Brian.

    Reply
    • Chris Worrall says:

      Returns are at BOG odds as always.
      We’ve never settled at betfair SP, nor have we intimated that we do.

      Reply
  2. leebrian says:

    P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give,

    I thought from ‘but I use BFSP for the stats’ that the results were always done to BFSP

    Reply
    • Chris Worrall says:

      1. I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible…

      2. I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give…

      I really can’t make it any clearer

      Reply
  3. leebrian says:

    Yes I get that but are the results in the profit/loss to BFSP or to BOG as you say above it’s to betfair sp but then you say to BOG Sorry but I am confused

    Reply
    • Chris Worrall says:

      The profits/loss for Stat of the Day is at BOG odds, because…I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible…

      The calculations I use to highlight a horse’s suitability for the done to betfair SP, because…I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give… I don’t know what the BOG was for a horse that ran 2 yrs ago.

      Reply
    • Chris Worrall says:

      I wouldn’t know, sorry, as I don’t back at Betfair SP, nor do we record results to Betfair SP.

      To be brutally honest, I don’t want to back horses at the same price everyone else gets, I want to constantly beat the market, that’s the only surefire way of making a profit.

      Reply

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