SOTD Weekly Updates

SotD Update, 9th to 14th July 2018

Safe/fair to say that week 2 of July didn't pan out anywhere near as well as week 1. Thankfully, our sole winner was advised at 4/1, helping to minimise the weekly loss to just 1 point, ensuring that we enter the second of the half month still holding figures better than both our 2018 & overall averages.

I don't really like to dwell on particular winners or losers, but I was disappointed by the "better" horses I picked this week ie those at Newmarket. Both had excellent chances on paper (pity the race was on grass) and both were well backed by the general public and lauded in the racing press. So, I've no qualms about picking : they simply underperformed.

Maybe, it does hint that I should stick to my low grade handicaps, though!

Selections & Results : 09/07/18 to 14/07/18

09/07 : My Fantasea @ 10/3 BOG 8th at 11/4
10/07: Quoteline Direct @ 4/1 BOG WON at 11/4
11/07 : Divine Messenger @ 9/4 BOG 2nd at 5/2
12/07 : Related @ 7/2 BOG 4th at 10/3
13/07 : Wissahickon @ 11/4 BOG 8th at 2/1
14/07 : Blue Point @ 10/3 BOG 7th at 5/2

09/07/18 to 14/07/18 :
1 winning bet from 6 = 16.66% SR
P/L: -1.00pt

July 2018 :
4 winners from 12 = 33.33% SR
P/L: +3.75pts
ROI = +31.25%

2018 to date :
39 winners from 154 = 25.32% SR
P/L: +24.56pts
ROI = +15.95%

Overall:
562 winners from 2039 = 27.56% S.R
P/L: +512.35pts
ROI: +25.13%

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is here.

Whilst the details for 2013 are now online here.
And the figures for 2014 are now available here.

Our review of 2015 can be found right here
Whilst 2016's details are right here

And here is the full story from 2017.

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1 reply
  1. IanJLiverm says:

    Hi Chris

    Some interesting observations. I am always pleased when you go into the higher end races and you have had winners there too. I agree though that Wissihickon and Blue Point ran unexpectedly poorly, but they were backed right up to the off, so they must have looked good as well as having the stats behind them. I did notice (afterwards) that Blue Point has only once won twice in a row and that was on debut, but of course anyone can be clever afterwards and he had a lot of Stats iin his favour, so whether that sort of observation has any credibility I doubt! Personally I still think SotD will balance up wherever you decide to put the money.
    Best wishes
    Ian

    Reply

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