Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 11th September 2017

Saturday's Result :

2.30 Stratford : Astrum @ 7/2 BOG WON at 15/8 : Made all, jumped right 4th, clear on last bend, stayed on to win by 6 lengths...

Monday's pick goes in the...

2.35 Perth :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Johnny Go @ 4/1 BOG

Why?

On a fairly uninspiring day of racing, I'm going to keep this very simple...

Trainer Lisa Harrison + handicap chasers + odds of 11/4 to 13/2 + 2014 to 2017 = 13/56 (23.2% SR) for 17pts (+30.4% ROI) profit, from which...

  • those last seen 4 to 30 days earlier = 12/48 (25%) for 19.4pts (+40.3%)
  • when racing in Scotland = 11/28 (39.3%) for 35.4pts (+126.5%)
  • here at Perth = 8/21 (38.1%) for 22.3pts (+106%)
  • and at this 3m trip = 6/15 (40%) for 16pts (+106.7%)

...simple but enough for ... a 1pt win bet on Johnny Go @ 4/1 BOG, which was offered by BetVictor & Paddy Power at 8.00pm on Sunday, so the choice is yours! For what it's worth, I'm on with BetVictor, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.35 Perth

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

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