Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 12th December 2016

Saturday's Result :

5.45 Wolverhampton : Boomerang Bob @ 7/1 BOG 2nd at 11/4 Prominent, ridden to lead over 1f out, ran on, headed close home, beaten by a neck.

Monday's pick goes in the...

3.30 Plumpton

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Shimba Hills @ 5/2 BOG

Why?

Since 2010, trainer Lawney Hill has only sent 46 runners on the relatively short (85 miles South) journey to Plumpton, but with 9 winners (19.6% SR) generating some 58pts profit at an ROI of 126.1%, I don't think it's a lack of success keeping her and her horses away.

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The best of her runners here tend to be 4 to 7 yr olds running in Class 4 to 6 handicaps, like Shimba Hills today, as these runners are 5 from 20 (25% SR) for 9.53pts (+47.65% ROI) profit.

She sends just this one runner here today, but that's no cause for concern, as since 2008 when sending a single runner to a track, those runners are 97/685 (14.2% SR) for 143.7pts (+21% ROI) profit, from which...

  • at classes 4 to 6 : 86/558 (15.4%) for 189.96pts (+34%)
  • 5 to 8 yr olds are 77/479 (16.1%) for 234pts (+48.9%)
  • and here at Plumpton : 6/28 (21.4%) for 69.8pts (+249.3%)

AND... 5-8 yr olds at Classes 4 to 6 here at Plumpton are 6/20 (30%) for 52.4pts (+262%) with hurdlers winning 3 of 10 (30%) for 43.37pts (+433.7%)

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Shimba Hills at 5/2 BOG with Paddy Power and a half dozen others who led the way at 8.25pm on Sunday. To see your preferred bookies' odds, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 3.30 Plumpton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

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