Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 15th May 2017

Saturday's Result :

7.30 Warwick : Brahms de Clermont @ 3/1 BOG 3rd at 5/4 led, went right 3rd, joined 3 out, headed before next, kept on same pace, no impression with front pair from last.

Monday's pick goes in the...

5.30 Towcester...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Honey Pound4/1 BOG

Why?

A 9 yr old gelding who was a winner LTO over course and distance under today's 3lb claimer jockey, Alan Johns, 32 days ago.

Trainer Tim Vaughan is 18 from 33 (54.6% SR) for 29.85pts (+90.5% ROI) here at Towcester with sub-9/2 shots since 2010, of which...

  • hurdlers are 10/17 (58.8%) for 23.8pts (+140%)
  • handicappers are 8/16 (50%) for 13.78pts (+86.2%)
  • and handicap hurdlers are 5/9 (55.6%) for 12.76pts (+141.8%) including Honey Pound LTO.

And with Alan Johns claiming 3lbs again, it reminds us that Tim Vaughan + 3lb claimer in NH hcps + 2012-17 + 14/1 max odds = 51/226 (22.6% SR) for 107.6pts (+47.6% ROI) including...

  • those ridden by Alan Johns = 28/121 (23.1%) for 30.1pts (+24.9%)
  • and here at Towcester @ 5/8 (62.5%) for 19.5pts (+243.7%)

And the final string to today's bow is the following micro... 2008-17 / hcp hurdles / C&D win LTO = 241/1175 (20.5% SR) for 163.7pts (+14% ROI) with 9 yr olds winning 26 of 98 (26.5% SR) for 60.3pts (+61.5%)

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Honey Pound4/1 BOG which was widely available at 7.15pm on Sunday an to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.30 Towcester

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

0 replies

Leave a Reply

Want to join the discussion?
Feel free to contribute!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *